Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 23

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)


	Birmingham City		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6	Watch
	1.43	4.6	6.5
	1.45	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.4	6.2
	1.47	4.48	6.22	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6.5
	1.47	4.65	6.4	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.58 ↑ (4.5)	6.35 ↓ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham City
64.6%

Draw
20.6%

Blackpool
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

19.9%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Birmingham City - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Blackpool will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Allsop R. (G) 19. Gardner-Hickman T. 6. Bielik K. (C) 4. Klarer C. 3. Buchanan L. 24. Iwata T. 13. Paik Seung-Ho 18. Willumsson W. T. 7. Hansson E. 9. May A. 17. Dykes L.	30. Tyrer H. (G) 24. Offiah O. 5. Pennington M. 20. Casey O. 3. Husband J. (C) 25. Apter R. 7. Evans L. 8. Morgan A. 15. Coulson H. 11. Fletcher A. 9. Joseph K.
Substitutes
25. Davies B. 26. Harris L. 2. Laird E. 12. Leonard M. 45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G) 28. Stansfield J. 33. Yokoyama A.	26. Ashworth Z. 19. Ballard D. 10. Carey S. 4. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 6. Norburn O. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 16. Rhodes J.
Coaches
Davies C.	Bruce S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Buchanan L. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
20', Bielik K. 🟨,
45', Hansson E. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dykes L. ↓, Stansfield J. ↑,
58', Klarer C. ↓, Davies B. ↑,
58', May A. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
69', Coulson H. ↓, Carey S. ↑,
71', Pennington M. 🟨,
79', Fletcher A. ↓, Rhodes J. ↑,
79', Joseph K. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
85', Apter R. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 2.

Birmingham in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Blackpool is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blackpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Birmingham is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Birmingham to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:16 (average 0.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Birmingham won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham City
English League One
26.12.24	Birmingham City - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
23.12.24	Crawley Town - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
14.12.24	Birmingham City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Exeter City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League One
07.12.24	Barnsley - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- Blackpool
English League One
26.12.24	Wrexham - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Blackpool - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.12.24	Blackpool - Aston Villa U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
14.12.24	Reading - Blackpool	0:3 ✺
04.12.24	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
01.12.24	Blackpool - Birmingham City	1:2
English League Championship
22.04.23	Birmingham City - Blackpool	0:1
10.12.22	Blackpool - Birmingham City	0:0
18.04.22	Blackpool - Birmingham City	6:1
27.11.21	Birmingham City - Blackpool	1:0
04.03.15	Birmingham City - Blackpool	1:0
06.12.14	Blackpool - Birmingham City	1:0

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