Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Stockton Town		Emley

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	4.60
	1.52	3.95	4.50
	1.52	4.50	4.77
	1.65	4.37	4.29	Watch
	1.50	4.45	4.70
	1.49	4.15	5.06
	1.57	4.10	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	4.22 ↑ (4.03)	4.65 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockton Town
58.9%

Draw
21.5%

Emley
19.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

23%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Emley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockton Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emley than the current prediction. (+1%)

Stockton Town - Emley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, Haswell A. ⚽,
24', 0 - 2, Stacey J. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Rinor E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 3, Young C. ⚽,
80', Scott J. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 17th and 19th in the Relegation).

Stockton Town has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Emley is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Emley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Stockton Town carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Emley	14	3	5	6	15:26	-11	14
19	Stockton	15	3	3	9	18:28	-10	12

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Stockton: 0.63%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockton Town
English NPL Premier Division
13.10.26	Lancaster City - Stockton Town	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
06.10.26	Stockton Town - Bury	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Hyde United - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Stockton Town - Bamber Bridge	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLW
- AFC Emley
English NPL Premier Division
13.10.26	United of Manchester - Emley	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Emley - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
06.10.26	Emley - Bamber Bridge	Abandoned ✺
03.10.26	Warrington Rylands - Emley	4:1 ✺
29.09.26	Emley - Workington	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TL?LL

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