Match Info

Championship - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	05:00	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 5
Brazil	16:00	ESPN 4
Canada	15:00	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 5
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 5
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Ukraine	22:00	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Stoke City		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.40	2.10	Watch
	3.25	3.40	2.20
	3.25	3.50	2.10	Watch
	3.40	3.59	2.21
	3.34	3.6	2.11	Watch
	3.30	3.55	2.18
	3.58	3.50	2.14	Watch
	3.30	3.40	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.61)	3.49 ↑ (3.41)	2.15 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
28.5%

Draw
27.2%

Norwich City
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.7%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stoke City's form might have worsened.

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norwich City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stoke City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norwich City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	21.1%	57.9%

Stoke City - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Norwich will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 50%). Norwich (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Norwich (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johansson V. (C) 2. Johnson B. 16. Wilmot B. 5. Graham L. 17. Bocat E. 27. Soumare D. 18. Lawal B. 42. Manhoef M. 8. Galbraith E. 10. Bae Jun-Ho 15. Hirst G.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 3. Stacey J. 15. McConville R. 33. Cordoba J. 13. Yongwa D. 23. McLean K. (C) 7. Mattsson P. 11. Brooks A. 20. Slimane A. 29. Schwartau O. 21. Toure M.
Substitutes
43. Anderson F. 21. Bombino L. 9. Bozenik R. 20. Gallagher S. 52. Giani L. 24. Griffiths J. (G) 59. Kelly G. 4. Pearson B. 19. Rigo T.	14. Chrisene B. 6. Darling H. 19. Diallo P. A. 26. Field S. 35. Fisher K. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 30. Kvistgaarden M. 49. Musaba A. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Robins M.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Galbraith E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Manhoef M. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
46', Wilmot B. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
46', Slimane A. ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
47', Lawal B. 🟨,
49', Galbraith E. 🟨,
56', Yongwa D. ↓, Chrisene B. ↑,
59', Hirst G. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
61', Cordoba J. 🟨,
66', McLean K. 🟨,
71', Toure M. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
71', Brooks A. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
85', Mattsson P. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
87', Soumare D. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1.

Stoke is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norwich has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Norwich could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Stoke: Cresswell A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Ahmed A. (Knee Injury) Maghoma P. (Calf Injury) Mahovo L. (Ankle Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Ampah A. (Hamstring Injury) Cisse L. (Knock) Tchamadeu J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Norwich: Makama J. (Foot Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Stoke	12	6	2	4	18:16	2	20
20	Norwich	12	4	0	8	20:22	-2	12

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Norwich: 3.04%

Last Results with these Odds

Norwich City - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
29.08.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Stoke City	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Stoke City - Hull City	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Southampton - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Stoke City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Stoke City - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Norwich City
English League Championship
29.08.26	Norwich City - Burnley	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Cardiff City - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
22.08.26	Millwall - Norwich City	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Norwich City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.01.26	Norwich City - Stoke City	0:2
27.09.25	Stoke City - Norwich City	1:1
22.02.25	Norwich City - Stoke City	4:2
19.10.24	Stoke City - Norwich City	1:1
16.03.24	Stoke City - Norwich City	0:3
16.09.23	Norwich City - Stoke City	1:0
18.03.23	Stoke City - Norwich City	0:0

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