The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Millwall 39.3%
Draw 29.3%
Stoke City 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.4%
29.3%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
30.1%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
36.8%
36.8%
26.3%
Millwall - Stoke City Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 15.1% โ 58.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Crocombe M. (G) 18. Leonard R. 4. Crama T. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 24. De Norre C. 11. Azeez F. 39. Smallbone W. 7. Ballo T. 9. Ivanovic M.
1. Johansson V. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 26. Phillips A. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 17. Bocat E. 19. Rigo T. 15. N'Zonzi S. 29. Cisse L. 12. Seko T. 7. Thomas S. 11. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
31. Bangura-Williams R. 23. Bryan J. 43. Coleman J. (G) 25. Cundle L. 14. Doughty A. 22. Emakhu A. 45. Harding W. 10. Neghli C. 6. Taylor C.
50. Agina S. 8. Baker L. 13. Bonham J. (G) 3. Cresswell A. 14. Donley J. 42. Manhoef M. 9. Mubama D. 4. Pearson B. 40. Talovierov M.
Coaches
Neil A.
Robins M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
15', Ballo T. 🟨,
21', 2 - 0, Crama T. ⚽, Ballo T. (A),
27', Smallbone W. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
37', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Seko T. ↓, Baker L. ↑,
46', Bocat E. ↓, Cresswell A. ↑,
46', Cisse L. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
62', N'Zonzi S. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
77', Sturge Z. 🟨,
79', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
83', Bozenik R. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
85', Azeez F. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
85', De Norre C. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 3.
Millwall is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Stoke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Bae J.
(Inactive)
Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
Lawal B.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 0.9:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.1:0.1).
United Kingdom
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Crocombe M. (G) 
Leonard R. 
Crama T. 
De Norre C. 
Smallbone W. 
Ballo T. 
Ivanovic M. 
Johansson V. (G) 
Tchamadeu J. 
Rigo T. 
Seko T. 
Thomas S. 
Harding W. 
Neghli C. 
Donley J. 
Manhoef M. 
Talovierov M. 
Neil A. 
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