Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Strasbourg		Lorient

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.7	4.4
	1.81	3.85	4.66
	1.78	3.8	4.4	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.4
	1.82	3.9	4.78	Watch
	1.76	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.79 ↓ (3.98)	4.5 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
53.6%

Draw
25.1%

Lorient
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.7%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

22.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	6.9%	31%

Strasbourg - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Lorient (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Strasbourg (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Strasbourg (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 7 - 70%). Lorient (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 23. Sarr M. (C) 6. Doukoure I. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 29. El Mourabet S. 32. Barco V. 7. Moreira D. 19. Enciso J. 11. Nanasi S. 9. Panichelli J.	38. Mvogo Y. (G) 5. Meite B. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 11. Le Bris T. 62. Avom A. 6. Abergel L. (C) 43. Kouassi A. 17. Makengo J. 10. Pagis P. 28. Soumano S.
Substitutes
17. Amougou M. 50. Bajic S. (G) 3. Chilwell B. 20. Godo M. 24. Hogsberg L. 41. Nzingoula R. 2. Omobamidele A. 42. Ouattara A. 16. Paez K.	32. Adjei N. 9. Bamba M. 8. Cadiou N. 12. Dieng B. 2. Igor Silva 21. Kamara B. (G) 29. Karim D. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 15. Tosin A.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sarr M. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
54', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
66', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
66', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
75', Pagis P. ↓, Karim D. ↑,
75', Makengo J. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
75', Enciso J. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
75', Nanasi S. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
82', El Mourabet S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Inactive) Johnsson K. (Inactive) Ouattara A. (Hamstring Injury) Oyedele M. (Groin Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lorient: Faye A. (Foot Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.12.25	Aberdeen - Strasbourg	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.12.25	Toulouse - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Strasbourg - Brest	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.11.25	Strasbourg - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.11.25	Lens - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
07.12.25	Lorient - Lyon	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Lorient - Nice	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Nantes - Lorient	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Lorient - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Lens - Lorient	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.02.24	Strasbourg - Lorient	1:3
17.12.23	Lorient - Strasbourg	1:2
03.06.23	Lorient - Strasbourg	2:1
13.11.22	Strasbourg - Lorient	1:1
20.03.22	Lorient - Strasbourg	0:0
31.10.21	Strasbourg - Lorient	4:0
23.05.21	Strasbourg - Lorient	1:1

Upcoming Matches