Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	OneFootball TV


	Strasbourg		Monaco

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.70	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.70	2.25
	3.10	3.70	2.08	Watch
	3.11	3.65	2.34
	2.98	3.79	2.21	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.30
	3.18	3.72	2.18	Watch
	3.05	3.75	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
31.3%

Draw
25.9%

Monaco
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.5%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.8%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	38.5%	46.2%

Strasbourg - Monaco Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Monaco will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.49) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Monaco (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Strasbourg (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Strasbourg (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.55) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 60%). Monaco (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jorgensen F. (G) 16. Antwi G. 4. Mitchell J. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 36. Oso 80. Yassine G. 21. Demba P. 10. Reyna G. 23. Sousa D. 30. Ortega J. 11. Nanasi S.	1. Hradecky L. (G) 2. Vanderson 72. Sane S. 15. Dier E. 20. Nazinho 8. Camara L. 6. Zakaria D. (C) 46. Soubeir A. 10. Golovin A. 17. Idumbo S. 29. Brunner P.
Substitutes
7. Amo-Ameyaw S. 45. Brantlind B. 31. Coulibaly K. 29. El Mourabet S. 14. Essugo D. 40. Harder C. 24. Hogsberg L. 28. Noubissie T. 12. Piekutowski M. (G)	11. Abline M. 47. Benzahra S. 14. Biereth M. 19. Cabral P. 7. Detourbet M. 16. Kohn P. (G) 13. Mawissa C. 22. Salisu M. 49. Toure I.
Coaches
Oliveira H.	Filipe Luis

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Soubeir A. ↓, Abline M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sousa D. ↓, Essugo D. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Sane S. (Own goal),
69', Ortega J. ↓, Harder C. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Brunner P. ⚽, Camara L. (A),
72', Idumbo S. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
82', Reyna G. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
82', Nanasi S. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
90+1', Golovin A. 🟨,
90+3', Yassine G. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2.

Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Monaco is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monaco: Balogun F. (Injury) Coulibaly M. (Muscle Injury) Fati A. (Calf Injury) Salisu M. (Knee Injury) Teze J. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Monaco: 8.18% Strasbourg: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Strasbourg - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.65%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Newcastle United - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
04.08.26	Strasbourg - Elversberg	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLTL
- AS Monaco
French Ligue 1
04.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Monaco - Olympique Marseille	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Monaco - Górnik Zabrze	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.08.26	Le Havre - Monaco	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Górnik Zabrze - Monaco	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.05.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	5:4
Coupe De France
05.02.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	3:1
French Ligue 1
31.08.25	Monaco - Strasbourg	3:2
19.04.25	Monaco - Strasbourg	0:0
09.11.24	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:3
10.03.24	Strasbourg - Monaco	0:1
20.08.23	Monaco - Strasbourg	3:0

Upcoming Matches