Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Brazil	Caze TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Strasbourg		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.5
	1.75	3.9	4.4
	1.73	4.04	4.92
	1.65	4.08	4.96	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.2
	1.8	4.07	4.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.71)	3.91 ↓ (3.94)	4.63 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
54.9%

Draw
24.5%

Paris FC
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

23.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	24%	8%

Strasbourg - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Paris FC will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 50%). Paris FC (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Strasbourg (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Paris FC (4.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 50%). Paris FC (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 42. Ouattara A. 22. Doue G. (C) 2. Omobamidele A. 3. Chilwell B. 32. Barco V. 29. El Mourabet S. 80. Yassine G. 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 9. Panichelli J.	35. Trapp K. (G) 17. Camara A. 42. Coppola D. 5. Mbow M. 19. Sangui N. 18. Munetsi M. 33. Lees-Melou P. (C) 23. Matondo R. 93. Ikone J. 36. Immobile C. 27. Simon M.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 34. Bosey J. 33. Cisse A. 15. Fofana D. D. 24. Hogsberg L. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S.	13. Cafaro M. 28. De Smet T. 9. Geubbels W. 24. Koleosho L. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 11. Krasso J. 21. Lopez M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 6. Otavio
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Kombouare A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
43', O'Neil G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
64', Immobile C. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
64', Simon M. ↓, Koleosho L. ↑,
64', Ikone J. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
69', Yassine G. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
79', Enciso J. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
89', Matondo R. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Strasbourg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paris FC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Strasbourg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Emegha E. (Leg Injury) Moreira D. (Ankle Injury) Mwanga J. (Arm Injury)

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Kebbal I. (Injury) Ollila T. (Injury) Riou R. (Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Strasbourg will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Paris FC: 1.81% Strasbourg: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Rijeka - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.03.26	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
03.03.26	Strasbourg - Reims	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.26	Strasbourg - Lens	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Strasbourg - Lyon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWTW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lyon - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Paris FC - Nice	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Toulouse - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Paris FC - Lens	0:5 ✺
08.02.26	Auxerre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.09.25	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:3
French Ligue 3
30.01.15	Strasbourg - Paris FC	2:1
22.08.14	Paris FC - Strasbourg	1:1
01.03.14	Strasbourg - Paris FC	0:2
13.09.13	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:0

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