Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:00	Disney+
Armenia	22:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	19:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	20:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	02:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	20:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	19:00	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	19:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:00	beIN Sports 3
Israel	20:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	19:00	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan
Mexico	12:00	FOX One
Netherlands	19:00	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	19:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:00	Disney+
Poland	19:00	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV3
Romania	20:00	Voyo
Russia	21:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	19:00	Arena Sport 1x2
South Korea	03:00	Coupang Play
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	19:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	21:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	20:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United Kingdom	18:00	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	14:00	Disney+
International	18:00	Onefootball


	Auxerre		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.35	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.58	3.35	2.25
	3.55	3.32	2.13	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.65	3.26	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↓ (3.81)	3.27 ↓ (3.37)	2.19 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
27.4%

Draw
29.1%

Strasbourg
43.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.8%

28%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

27.7%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	6.2%	87.5%

Auxerre - Strasbourg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Auxerre (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Strasbourg (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 29. Senaya M. 20. Diomande S. 24. Okoh B. 14. Mensah G. 7. Casimir J. 5. Danois K. 42. Owusu E. (C) 22. Oppegard F. 10. Sinayoko L. 19. Namaso D.	39. Penders M. (G) 24. Hogsberg L. 2. Omobamidele A. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 42. Ouattara A. 29. El Mourabet S. 80. Yassine G. 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 15. Fofana D. D.
Substitutes
8. Ahamada N. 92. Akpa C. 44. Cissokho M. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 31. Rodin R. 4. Sierralta F. 27. Sy L. 41. Zaddy Y.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 50. Bajic S. (G) 32. Barco V. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 83. Luis R. 11. Nanasi S. 8. Oyedele M. 9. Panichelli J.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
43', Mensah G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yassine G. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
56', Senaya M. 🟨,
59', Pelissier C. 🟨,
63', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
64', Fofana D. D. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
65', Godo M. ↓, Nanasi S. ↑,
65', Chilwell B. ↓, Barco V. ↑,
77', Senaya M. ↓, Sy L. ↑,
77', Casimir J. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
78', El Mourabet S. ↓, Oyedele M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Strasbourg could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Injury) Devernois T. (Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Injury) Faivre R. (Injury) Mara S. (Loan agreement)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Leg Injury) Moreira D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Auxerre	8	3	1	4	12:18	-6	10
16	Strasbourg	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Strasbourg: 0.53% Auxerre: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
01.03.26	Lorient - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Auxerre - Rennes	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Metz - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Auxerre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Toulouse - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWTT
- RC Strasbourg
Coupe De France
03.03.26	Strasbourg - Reims	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.26	Strasbourg - Lens	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Strasbourg - Lyon	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Le Havre - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0
02.03.25	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:1
05.01.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:1
19.03.23	Strasbourg - Auxerre	2:0
27.08.22	Auxerre - Strasbourg	1:0
French Ligue 2
20.03.17	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:2
21.10.16	Strasbourg - Auxerre	2:1

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