Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 GOLD Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Strasbourg		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.42	3.55	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3.62	2.96
	2.38	3.6	2.87	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.45	3.69	2.98	Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.38)	3.57 ↑ (3.49)	2.88 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
40.1%

Draw
26.7%

Lyon
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.5%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.2%	14.1%	68.7%

Strasbourg - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 11 - 17.5%). Lyon will win (votes: 43 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 56.8% – 79.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Lyon (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lyon (2.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Strasbourg (2.02) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Lyon (2.11) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DC - Lyon (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Lyon (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 2. Omobamidele A. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 29. El Mourabet S. 32. Barco V. 7. Moreira D. 19. Enciso J. 20. Godo M. 9. Panichelli J.	1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. 21. Kluivert R. 6. Tessmann T. 23. Morton T. 8. Tolisso C. (C) 9. Endrick 10. Sulc P. 16. Abner Vinicius
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 5. Anselmino A. 15. Fofana D. D. 24. Hogsberg L. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 11. Nanasi S. 42. Ouattara A. 80. Yassine G.	40. Descamps R. (G) 18. Ghezzal R. 45. Himbert R. 85. Kamara N. 7. Karabec A. 44. Merah K. 99. Nartey N. 3. Tagliafico N. 77. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Sulc P. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Godo M. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 2 - 0, Moreira D. ⚽, El Mourabet S. (A),
54', Fonseca P. 🟨,
57', Kluivert R. 🟨,
57', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
58', Tessmann T. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Tolisso C. ⚽, Yaremchuk R. (A),
60', Endrick 🟨,
83', Tolisso C. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Panichelli J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Enciso J. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
85', Kluivert R. ↓, Tagliafico N. ↑,
90', Moreira D. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
90', Omobamidele A. ↓, Anselmino A. ↑,
90+9', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.

Strasbourg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lyon is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Strasbourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lyon has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Leg Injury) Oyedele M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Hateboer H. (Injury) Mangala O. (Injury) Moreira A. (Injury) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:39. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 2:1.9).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01% Strasbourg: 0.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
14.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Le Havre - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
05.02.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	3:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Lille - Strasbourg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWLW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
15.02.26	Lyon - Nice	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Nantes - Lyon	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lyon - Laval	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Lyon - Lille	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Lyon - PAOK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1
28.03.25	Strasbourg - Lyon	4:2
30.08.24	Lyon - Strasbourg	4:3
19.05.24	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1
Coupe De France
27.02.24	Lyon - Strasbourg	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
13.08.23	Strasbourg - Lyon	2:1
28.04.23	Strasbourg - Lyon	1:2

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