Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	17:05	Disney+
Armenia	00:05	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	21:05	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:05	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:05	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:05	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	04:05	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:05	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:05	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:05	Viaplay
Europe	—	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	22:05	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:05	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	21:05	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	04:05	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	22:05	Sport 5 Max
Italy	21:05	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Japan	05:05	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	02:05	Setanta Sports
Kenya	23:05	Gotv
Kosovo	21:05	ART Sport 4
Mexico	14:05	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	21:05	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	21:05	Viaplay
Peru	15:05	Disney+
Philippines	04:05	Cignal Play
Poland	21:05	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	20:05	Sport TV3
Russia	23:05	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:05	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	21:05	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	21:05	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	22:05	SuperSport Variety 4
South America	—	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South Korea	05:05	Coupang Play
Sweden	21:05	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:05	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	23:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	22:05	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:05	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	17:05	Disney+
Usa	15:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	16:05	Disney+
International	20:05	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Lens

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.98	Watch
	4.01	3.6	1.99
	4.01	3.55	1.92	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.91
	4.16	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.71)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
24.4%

Draw
27%

Lens
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.9%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.6%	10.9%	87.5%

Paris FC - Lens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Paris FC (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Lens (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lens (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lens (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (55 of 63 users predict this - 87.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.08% – 95.52%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Lens (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 23. Matondo R. 42. Coppola D. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 6. Otavio 19. Sangui N. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. 18. Munetsi M. 24. Koleosho L. 36. Immobile C.	40. Risser R. (G) 4. Celik N. 25. Ganiou I. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 8. Sangare M. 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
17. Camara A. 9. Geubbels W. 7. Gory A. 93. Ikone J. 11. Krasso J. 33. Lees-Melou P. 4. Marchetti V. 5. Mbow M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 27. Simon M.	26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 29. Masuaku A. 9. Saint-Maximin A. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Said W. ⚽, Edouard O. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Said W. ⚽, Abdulhamid S. (A),
45+4', Said W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', Sangare M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Thauvin F. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Koleosho L. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
69', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
69', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
74', Otavio ↓, Mbow M. ↑,
74', Immobile C. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
74', Munetsi M. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
81', Lopez M. ↓, Lees-Melou P. ↑,
83', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
84', Matondo R. 🟨,
90', 0 - 4, Fofana R. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),
90+1', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
90+1', Udol M. ↓, Masuaku A. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 5, Fofana R. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.

Paris FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lens is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lens is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Riou R. (Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Red Card) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	13:9	4	14
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	4	13

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 2.21% Paris FC: 1.67%

Last Results with these Odds

Lens - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
08.02.26	Auxerre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Paris FC - Angers	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTTW
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Troyes - Lens	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.10.25	Lens - Paris FC	2:1
French Ligue 2
02.03.20	Paris FC - Lens	0:2
28.09.19	Lens - Paris FC	2:1
French Ligue 1
21.05.19	Paris FC - Lens	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 2
03.03.19	Paris FC - Lens	2:0
28.09.18	Lens - Paris FC	0:0
30.04.18	Lens - Paris FC	1:0

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