Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Jean Bouin (Paris)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
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Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Paris FC		Lens

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.55	1.98	Watch
	4.01	3.6	1.99
	4.01	3.55	1.92	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.91
	4.16	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4.03)	3.53 ↓ (3.71)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
24.4%

Draw
27%

Lens
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.6%	10.9%	87.5%

Paris FC - Lens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Paris FC (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Lens (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lens (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Lens (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (55 of 63 users predict this - 87.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.08% – 95.52%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Paris FC (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Lens (votes: 19 - 86.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Trapp K. (G) 23. Matondo R. 42. Coppola D. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 6. Otavio 19. Sangui N. 10. Kebbal I. 21. Lopez M. 18. Munetsi M. 24. Koleosho L. 36. Immobile C.	40. Risser R. (G) 4. Celik N. 25. Ganiou I. 20. Sarr M. 23. Abdulhamid S. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 8. Sangare M. 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 22. Said W. 11. Edouard O.
Substitutes
17. Camara A. 9. Geubbels W. 7. Gory A. 93. Ikone J. 11. Krasso J. 33. Lees-Melou P. 4. Marchetti V. 5. Mbow M. 16. Nkambadio O. (G) 27. Simon M.	26. Bermont A. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 16. Gorgelin M. (G) 21. Haidara A. 29. Masuaku A. 9. Saint-Maximin A. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Sage P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Said W. ⚽, Edouard O. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Said W. ⚽, Abdulhamid S. (A),
45+4', Said W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
48', Sangare M. ↓, Bulatovic A. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Thauvin F. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Koleosho L. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
69', Edouard O. ↓, Fofana R. ↑,
69', Said W. ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
74', Otavio ↓, Mbow M. ↑,
74', Immobile C. ↓, Krasso J. ↑,
74', Munetsi M. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
81', Lopez M. ↓, Lees-Melou P. ↑,
83', Lees-Melou P. 🟨,
84', Matondo R. 🟨,
90', 0 - 4, Fofana R. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),
90+1', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
90+1', Udol M. ↓, Masuaku A. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 5, Fofana R. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 1.

Paris FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lens is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Paris FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lens is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S. (Injury) Chergui S. (Injury) Gueye L. (Injury) Hamel P. (Calf Injury) Riou R. (Injury) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lens: Aguilar R. (Red Card) Antonio K. (Foot Injury) Baidoo S. (Muscle Injury) Gradit J. (Thigh Injury) Gurtner R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paris FC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Paris FC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lens: 2.52% Paris FC: 1.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8:3	5	11
7	Lens	6	2	1	3	11:10	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Lens - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.08%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
08.02.26	Auxerre - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Lorient - Paris FC	2:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Paris FC - Angers	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Nantes - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTTW
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
07.02.26	Lens - Rennes	3:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Troyes - Lens	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
30.01.26	Lens - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Lens - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
19.10.25	Lens - Paris FC	2:1
French Ligue 2
02.03.20	Paris FC - Lens	0:2
28.09.19	Lens - Paris FC	2:1
French Ligue 1
21.05.19	Paris FC - Lens	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 2
03.03.19	Paris FC - Lens	2:0
28.09.18	Lens - Paris FC	0:0
30.04.18	Lens - Paris FC	1:0

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