Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Referee: Fotias V. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 8
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	VIX App


	Rijeka		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.7	1.7
	4.7	3.55	1.72
	4.9	3.8	1.76
	4.8	3.74	1.75	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.73
	5.08	3.76	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (3.05)	3.66 ↑ (3.61)	1.73 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
19.6%

Draw
25.8%

Strasbourg
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.3%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rijeka's form might have worsened.

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Strasbourg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rijeka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.6%	14.8%	78.7%

Rijeka - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 4 - 6.7%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 48 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 69.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Rijeka (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Rijeka (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 18 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zlomislic M. (C) 22. Orec A. 45. Majstorovic A. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 20. Ndockyt M. 55. Barco A. 26. Dantas T. 14. Gojak A. 18. Adu Adjei D. 10. Fruk T.	39. Penders M. (G) 22. Doue G. 24. Hogsberg L. 6. Doukoure I. (C) 3. Chilwell B. 29. El Mourabet S. 32. Barco V. 27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 19. Enciso J. 11. Nanasi S. 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
91. Bodetic N. 9. Cop D. 51. Husic A. 77. Juric A. 23. Lasickas J. 7. Morchiladze T. 8. Petrovic D. 11. Rukavina G. 25. Thaqi D. 99. Todorovic A. (G)	17. Amougou M. 38. Bosey J. 15. Fofana D. D. 20. Godo M. 1. Johnsson K. (G) 60. Kerckaert G. (G) 37. Kodia G. 83. Luis R. 46. Marechal M. 2. Omobamidele A. 42. Ouattara A. 80. Yassine G.
Coaches
Sanchez V.	O'Neil G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Panichelli J. ⚽, Nanasi S. (A),
29', Doukoure I. 🟨,
45', Fruk T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Doukoure I. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
47', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
53', Majstorovic A. 🟨,
65', Enciso J. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
65', Nanasi S. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
66', Ndockyt M. ↓, Petrovic D. ↑,
66', Gojak A. ↓, Cop D. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Godo M. ⚽,
73', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
74', Devetak M. ↓, Lasickas J. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Majstorovic A. ⚽, Dantas T. (A),
77', Panichelli J. ↓, Fofana D. D. ↑,
84', Doue G. 🟨,
86', Amo-Ameyaw S. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Rijeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Strasbourg is the team to beat.

There will not play in Rijeka: Barisic T. (Injury) Legbo D. (Inactive) Pavic B. (Inactive) Shehu F. (Inactive) Skoric M. (Injury) Vignato S. (Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Leg Injury) Moreira D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Mwanga J. (Arm Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
08.03.26	Vukovar 91 - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
Croatian Cup
04.03.26	Rijeka - Hajduk Split	3:2 ✺
Croatian HNL
01.03.26	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.02.26	Rijeka - Omonia	3:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
22.02.26	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
07.03.26	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
03.03.26	Strasbourg - Reims	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.02.26	Strasbourg - Lens	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Strasbourg - Lyon	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTWT

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