Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 7

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Xsports
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	Migu
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	5 PLUS Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
International	OneFootball TV


	Strasbourg		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	6.25	5.50	1.40	Watch
	6.00	5.25	1.43
	6.75	5.25	1.36
	6.50	5.60	1.43
	6.5	5.1	1.46	Watch
	6.40	5.45	1.42
	7.06	5.53	1.44	Watch
	6.20	5.40	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↑ (6.2)	5.39 ↑ (4.96)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
14.8%

Draw
17.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
67.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.3%

19.1%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

18.5%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Strasbourg aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	0%	94.1%

Strasbourg - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - PSG (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.

Strasbourg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

PSG is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

PSG may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to PSG as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Inactive) Godo M. (Muscle Injury) Nanasi S. (Injury) Panichelli J. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for PSG: Longoni A. (Injury) Mayulu S. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Strasbourg has recorded 2 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:49 (averaging 1.3:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Strasbourg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:19 goals (averaging 1.4:1.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	PSG	6	3	2	1	11:8	3	11
12	Strasbourg	6	2	1	3	11:12	-1	7

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 75.13% Strasbourg: 0.61%

Last Results with these Odds

Paris Saint-Germain - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.68%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Nice - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Strasbourg - Monaco	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Troyes - Strasbourg	2:6 ✺
29.08.26	Strasbourg - Lens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTWW
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
14.10.26	Manchester City - Paris Saint-Germain	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Mans	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Slovan Bratislava	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3
03.05.25	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1
19.10.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	4:2
02.02.24	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
21.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:0
27.05.23	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1

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