Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 17

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Strasbourg		Troyes

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.7
	1.9	3.65	3.95
	2.01	3.55	3.55
	2.03	3.71	3.83
	2	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.66	3.68	Watch
	2.07	3.65	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.81)	3.6 ↓ (3.73)	3.68 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
47.7%

Draw
26.4%

Troyes
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.3%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	11.7%	15.6%

Strasbourg - Troyes Predictions

Users Predictions: 128 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 93 - 72.7%). Troyes will win (votes: 20 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 11.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 65% – 80.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 15).

Strasbourg has the most likely position - 15 (9.84%), has project points - 41, has currently - 11, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (11.35%), has project points - 39, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 57, importance 48, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1.

In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
28.12.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.12.22	Strasbourg - Feyenoord	0:1 ✺
09.12.22	Strasbourg - Vitesse	Canceled ✺
French Ligue 1
13.11.22	Strasbourg - Lorient	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Ajaccio - Strasbourg	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LL?TL
- Troyes AC
French Ligue 1
28.12.22	Troyes - Nantes	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Leicester City - Troyes	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.11.22	Brest - Troyes	2:1 ✺
04.11.22	Troyes - Auxerre	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Troyes	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
17.04.22	Troyes - Strasbourg	1:1
22.08.21	Strasbourg - Troyes	1:1
11.02.18	Strasbourg - Troyes	2:1
04.11.17	Troyes - Strasbourg	3:0
French Ligue 2
07.02.17	Troyes - Strasbourg	4:0
12.09.16	Strasbourg - Troyes	2:0

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