Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade François Coty (Ajaccio)

Referee: Vernice M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Japan	DAZN Japan
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Ajaccio		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3	2.6
	3	3	2.55
	2.9	3	2.6
	3.02	3.13	2.69
	2.88	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.9	3.14	2.59	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.72)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
32.5%

Draw
31%

Strasbourg
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

29.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22%	38%	40%

Ajaccio - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 11 - 22%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 20 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 38%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 26.4% – 53.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 20 (16.38%), has project points - 36, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Strasbourg has the most likely position - 11 (9.52%), has project points - 44, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 57, importance 43, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ajaccio is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Strasbourg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Avinel C. (Red Card) Moussiti-Oko B. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Strasbourg: Fila K. (Groin Injury) Kandil N. (Injury) Sissoko I. (Ankle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
30.10.22	Auxerre - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
21.10.22	Ajaccio - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Troyes - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Olympique Marseille - Ajaccio	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Ajaccio - Clermont	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLTWL
- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
29.10.22	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Toulouse - Strasbourg	2:2 ✺
14.10.22	Strasbourg - Lille	0:3 ✺
09.10.22	Angers - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
01.10.22	Strasbourg - Rennes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.04.17	Strasbourg - Ajaccio	4:2
18.11.16	Ajaccio - Strasbourg	2:0

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