Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 6, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Select 1, SuperSport LaLiga
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	16:00	Max
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	03:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 7
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	Sony LIV
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	13:00	Caliente TV
Montenegro	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Sporza
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	00:00	Tapmad
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 6
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 8, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 8, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 9
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Inter
Vietnam	02:00	TV 360
International	19:00	Disney+, JioTV app


	Sturm Graz		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.1	1.7
	4.4	4	1.73
	4.35	4.15	1.75
	4.63	4.16	1.74
	4.3	4.11	1.79	Watch
	4.2	3.8	1.85
	4.47	4.23	1.75
	4.3	4.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (2.53)	4.08 ↑ (3.6)	1.76 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
22%

Draw
23.6%

Club Brugge
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.2%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sturm Graz's form might have worsened.

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Club Brugge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Club Brugge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.1%	19.7%	44.3%

Sturm Graz - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 21 - 35%). Brugge will win (votes: 27 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 32.4% – 57.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scherpen K. (G) 2. Johnston M. 47. Aiwu E. 35. Geyrhofer N. 22. Gazibegovic J. 21. Chukwuani T. 8. Yalcouye M. 15. Boving W. 10. Kiteishvili O. (C) 36. Camara A. 18. Biereth M.	22. Mignolet S. (G) 65. Seys J. 4. Ordonez J. 30. Jashari A. 44. Mechele B. 55. De Cuyper M. 7. Skov Olsen A. 15. Onyedika R. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 8. Tzolis C. 9. Jutgla F.
Substitutes
40. Bignetti M. (G) 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 19. Horvat T. 20. Jatta S. 17. Karic E. 53. Khudyakov D. (G) 23. Malic A. 32. Schopp K. 33. Sorg O. 9. Yardimci E. 14. Zvonarek L.	29. Jackers N. (G) 27. Nielsen C. 2. Romero Z. 64. Sabbe K. 21. Skoras M. 68. Talbi C. 17. Vermant R. 10. Vetlesen H.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Tzolis C. ⚽, Onyedika R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Skov Olsen A. ↓, Skoras M. ↑,
51', Aiwu E. 🟨,
58', Camara A. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
66', Geyrhofer N. 🟨,
66', Biereth M. ↓, Yardimci E. ↑,
66', Boving W. ↓, Horvat T. ↑,
70', Yalcouye M. 🟨,
70', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
73', Skoras M. 🟨,
77', Jutgla F. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
82', Chukwuani T. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
82', Yalcouye M. ↓, Zvonarek L. ↑,
90+4', Gazibegovic J. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sturm could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brugge will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury) Gorenc Stankovic J. (Forearm injury) Lavalee D. (Red Card) Wuthrich G. (Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Meijer B. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
28.09.24	Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz	1:2 ✺
25.09.24	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Brest - Sturm Graz	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Sturm Graz - Kapfenberger SV	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLLW
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.09.24	Charleroi - Club Brugge	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Club Brugge - Gent	2:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Club Brugge - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.09.24	Kortrijk - Club Brugge	0:3 ✺
01.09.24	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWW

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