Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 12 January 2024, Friday

Location: Sportski Centar Terme Catez (Brezice)


	Sturm Graz		Rijeka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.28	3.92	2.64	Watch
	2.26	3.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.2)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)	2.6 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
40.7%

Draw
24%

Rijeka
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

24%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.7%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Rijeka have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-1%)

Sturm Graz - Rijeka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jaros V. (G) 42. Affengruber D. 36. Camara A. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Horvat T. 2. Johnston M. 10. Kiteishvili O. 24. Lavalee D. 8. Prass A. 11. Sarkaria M. 28. Schnegg D.	1. Labrovic N. (G) 66. Dilaver E. 21. Fruk T. 3. Goda B. 25. Hodza V. 89. Ivanovic F. 4. Jankovic N. 6. Mitrovic M. 87. Pasalic M. 20. Pjaca M. 28. Smolcic I.

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Sturm is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rijeka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sturm could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
UEFA Europa League
14.12.23	Sporting Lisbon - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
10.12.23	Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Sturm Graz - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
25.11.23	Sturm Graz - Austria Lustenau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTLW
- HNK Rijeka
Club Friendly
09.01.24	Rijeka - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
16.12.23	Rijeka - Rudeš	3:0 ✺
10.12.23	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:4 ✺
Croatian Cup
05.12.23	Cibalia - Rijeka	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
02.12.23	Osijek - Rijeka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWT

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