Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sturm Graz		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.9	3.6	4.25	Watch
	1.88	3.76	4.3
	1.88	3.76	4.22
	1.83	3.6	4
	1.85	3.74	4.25
	1.88	3.7	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.81)	3.67 ↓ (3.69)	4.2 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
51.2%

Draw
26%

Raków Częstochowa
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

27.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	3.8%	7.7%

Sturm Graz - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: Sturm Graz will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Scherpen K. (G) 22. Gazibegovic J. 42. Affengruber D. 6. Borkovic A. 28. Schnegg D. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 24. Lavalee D. 8. Prass A. 19. Horvat T. 9. Wlodarczyk S. 11. Sarkaria M.	1. Kovacevic V. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 15. Kovacevic A. 3. Rundic M. 22. Sorescu D. 30. Kochergin V. 5. Berggren G. 20. Silva J. C. 27. Nowak B. 19. Crnac A. 77. Cebula M.
Substitutes
15. Boving W. 44. Dante A. 29. Fuseini M. 35. Geyrhofer N. 38. Grgic L. 25. Hierlander S. 2. Johnston M. 10. Kiteishvili O. 31. Maric L. (G) 14. Serrano J. 45. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 5. Wuthrich G.	93. Kittel S. 8. Lederman B. 29. Mras T. 99. Piasecki F. 14. Plavsic S. 12. Tsiftsis A. (G) 11. Yeboah J. 9. Zwolinski L.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Szwarga D.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Sturm have a series of guest games.

In this match Sturm is a favorite.

There will not play in Raków: Gryszkiewicz A. (Knee Injury) Lopez I. (Knee Injury) Papanikolaou G. (Shoulder Injury) Racovitan B. (Red Card) Svarnas S. (Muscle Injury) Zwolinski L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm: Boving W. (Injury) Jatta S. (Muscle Injury) Kiteishvili O. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Wuthrich G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Raków: Pestka K. (Knee Injury) Yeboah J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sturm won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
25.11.23	Sturm Graz - Austria Lustenau	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Atalanta - Sturm Graz	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
05.11.23	LASK Linz - Sturm Graz	3:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
02.11.23	Grazer AK - Sturm Graz	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.11.23	Raków Częstochowa - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.11.23	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	5:0 ✺
Polish Cup
02.11.23	ŁKS Łódź - Raków Częstochowa	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Raków Częstochowa - Sturm Graz	0:1

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