Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sporting Lisbon		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5.25
	1.61	4.1	5.25
	1.65	4.35	5.05	Watch
	1.63	4.2	5.7
	1.61	4.23	5.53
	1.62	4	4.8
	1.61	4.25	5.35
	1.58	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)	4.2 ↑ (4.08)	5.29 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
59.2%

Draw
22.8%

Sturm Graz
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

22.5%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Sporting Lisbon - Sturm Graz Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 30 - 76.9%). Sturm will win (votes: 6 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 63.7% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Israel F. (G) 13. Neto 4. Coates S. (C) 2. Matheus Reis 47. Esgaio R. 42. Hjulmand M. 23. Braganca D. 11. Santos N. 17. Trincao 9. Gyokeres V. 20. Paulinho	1. Scherpen K. (G) 22. Gazibegovic J. 42. Affengruber D. 24. Lavalee D. 28. Schnegg D. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 19. Horvat T. 8. Prass A. 10. Kiteishvili O. 20. Jatta S. 11. Sarkaria M.
Substitutes
1. Adan A. (G) 26. Diomande O. 10. Edwards M. 14. Essugo D. 8. Goncalves P. 25. Inacio G. 5. Morita H. 72. Quaresma E. 99. Silva F. (G)	6. Borkovic A. 15. Boving W. 44. Dante A. 29. Fuseini M. 35. Geyrhofer N. 25. Hierlander S. 2. Johnston M. 31. Maric L. (G) 14. Serrano J. 17. Teixeira B. 45. Wiener-Pucher C. (G) 9. Wlodarczyk S.
Coaches
Amorim R.	Ilzer C.

Preview

Sporting is Qualified for Europa League (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Recent matches Sporting is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sturm is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sporting is a favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Fresneda I. (Shoulder Injury) St. Juste J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm: Wuthrich G. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
09.12.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Sporting Lisbon	3:2 ✺
04.12.23	Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Atalanta - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
26.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Dumiense	8:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
12.11.23	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTWL
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
10.12.23	Sturm Graz - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Blau-Weiss Linz - Sturm Graz	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Sturm Graz - Raków Częstochowa	0:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
25.11.23	Sturm Graz - Austria Lustenau	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Austria Klagenfurt - Sturm Graz	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Sturm Graz - Sporting Lisbon	1:2

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