Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Chile	ESPN 3
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 4
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport LIve 4
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Venezia		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.1	1.6	Watch
	5.25	4.2	1.58
	4.95	4.3	1.62	Watch
	5.53	4.29	1.62
	5.55	4.44	1.59	Watch
	5.5	4.2	1.6
	5.44	4.46	1.65	Watch
	5	4.3	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (5.04)	4.29 ↑ (4.05)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Venezia
18%

Draw
22.4%

Atalanta
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

23.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	6.5%	84.8%

Venezia - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 96.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stankovic F. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 21. Sagrado R. 27. Candela A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 32. Duncan A. 7. Zampano F. 11. Oristanio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 15. De Roon M. (C) 4. Hien I. 19. Djimsiti B. 16. Bellanova R. 13. Ederson 8. Pasalic M. 77. Zappacosta D. 17. De Ketelaere C. 11. Lookman A. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
15. Altare G. 38. Andersen M. K. 12. Bruno (G) 6. Busio G. 79. Carboni F. 22. Crnigoj D. 97. Doumbia I. 80. El Haddad S. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 5. Haps R. 1. Joronen J. (G) 45. Raimondo A. 25. Schingtienne J. 10. Yeboah J.	7. Cuadrado J. 49. Del Lungo T. 5. Godfrey B. 27. Palestra M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 24. Samardzic L. 50. Steffanoni F. 6. Sulemana I. 48. Vlahovic V. 10. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Pasalic M. ⚽, Retegui M. (A),
43', Ederson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hien I. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
46', Lookman A. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
46', Ellertsson M. E. ↓, Busio G. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Retegui M. ⚽,
64', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
64', Sagrado R. ↓, Haps R. ↑,
68', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
68', Retegui M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
75', Ederson ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
79', Oristanio G. ↓, El Haddad S. ↑,
79', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gytkjaer C. ↑,
90+2', Busio G. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 8).

Venezia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Atalanta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Atalanta is a favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Brescianini M. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Knee Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury) Toloi R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Bjarkason B. (Hernia) Duncan A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Ruggeri M. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:9 (average 0.3:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
04.10.24	Verona - Venezia	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Roma - Venezia	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Venezia - Genoa	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Milan - Venezia	4:0 ✺
30.08.24	Venezia - Torino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
05.10.24	Atalanta - Genoa	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.24	Bologna - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Atalanta - Como	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Atalanta - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
23.04.22	Venezia - Atalanta	1:3
Coppa Italia
12.01.22	Atalanta - Venezia	2:0
Italian Serie A
30.11.21	Atalanta - Venezia	4:0

Upcoming Matches