Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Qazsport, Q Sport Arena
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	beIN Sports 3, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app, Virgin TV Go app


	Atalanta		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.5	6.5
	1.38	5.25	7
	1.38	5.55	7.5	Watch
	1.4	5.66	7.35
	1.39	5.6	7.34	Watch
	1.4	5	7.5
	1.41	5.58	7.47
	1.38	5.55	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.47)	5.46 ↑ (4.87)	7.27 ↑ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
69.2%

Draw
17.6%

Celtic
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

19.7%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

22%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.3%	7.5%	2.2%

Atalanta - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (81 of 89 users predict this - 91.01%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.07% – 96.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 8. Pasalic M. 32. Retegui M. 11. Lookman A.	1. Schmeichel K. (G) 2. Johnston A. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 11. Valle A. 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 10. Kuhn N. 9. Idah A. 38. Maeda D.
Substitutes
7. Cuadrado J. 17. De Ketelaere C. 49. Del Lungo T. 5. Godfrey B. 46. Manzoni A. 27. Palestra M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 31. Rossi F. (G) 22. Ruggeri M. 24. Samardzic L. 48. Vlahovic V. 10. Zaniolo N.	29. Bain S. (G) 28. Bernardo P. 49. Forrest J. 8. Furuhashi K. 14. McCowan L. 17. Nawrocki M. 7. Palma L. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 57. Welsh S. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Johnston A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Bellanova R. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
59', Retegui M. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
68', Idah A. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
68', Hatate R. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
69', Lookman A. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
75', Maeda D. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
75', Engels A. ↓, McCowan L. ↑,
78', Kolasinac S. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
78', Pasalic M. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
81', Kuhn N. ↓, Forrest J. ↑,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Celtic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Celtic have a series of guest games.

In this match Atalanta is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Brescianini M. (Thigh Injury) Kossounou O. (Muscle Injury) Scalvini G. (Knee Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury) Toloi R. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Celtic: Taylor G. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Toe Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
20.10.24	Venezia - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Atalanta - Genoa	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.10.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.09.24	Bologna - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Atalanta - Como	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTL
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
19.10.24	Celtic - Aberdeen	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.24	Sligo Rovers - Celtic	2:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
06.10.24	Ross County - Celtic	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.10.24	Borussia Dortmund - Celtic	7:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
28.09.24	St. Johnstone - Celtic	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLW

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