Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Brazil	10:30	Canal GOAT
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	10:30	Disney+
China	21:30	Migu
Colombia	08:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Viaplay
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 2
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Iceland	13:30	Viaplay
India	19:00	ZEE5
Japan	22:30	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	07:30	FOX One
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Philippines	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Russia	16:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	16:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Korea	22:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	20:30	AIS PLAY
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	Peacock
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Elversberg		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.75	2.70	Watch
	2.37	3.75	2.70
	2.38	3.75	2.55	Watch
	2.53	3.85	2.75
	2.43	3.85	2.66	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.70
	2.52	3.88	2.77	Watch
	2.42	3.80	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.43)	3.8 ↓ (4.02)	2.69 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elversberg
39.2%

Draw
25.2%

Augsburg
35.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

23.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.1%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Elversberg - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Augsburg will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 35% – 88%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 43. Keidel F. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Darvich N. 7. Krattenmacher M. 42. Mokwa Ntusu D.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 35. Bah J. 5. Matsima C. 2. Brackelmann C. 27. Wolf M. 4. Massengo H. 32. Rieder F. (C) 16. Behrens H. 19. Fellhauer R. 21. Ibrahimovic A. 9. Ribeiro R.
Substitutes
15. Adam R. 28. Boss T. (G) 6. Conde A. 9. Futkeu N. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 26. Sirch L.	6. Gouweleeuw J. 11. Gregoritsch M. 30. Kade A. 14. Keitel Y. 10. Komur M. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 39. Ogundu U. 37. Schnitzer T. 7. Seol Young-Woo
Coaches
Wagner V.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', Petkov L. (Penalty Awarded),
4', 1 - 0, Petkov L. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Gunther L. ⚽, Krattenmacher M. (A),
28', 3 - 0, Rohr M. ⚽, Keidel F. (A),
30', Massengo H. 🟨,
30', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
40', Gyamerah J. ↓, Sirch L. ↑,
40', Darvich N. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
45+9', 3 - 1, Rieder F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Wolf M. ↓, Kade A. ↑,
46', Ribeiro R. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
46', Bah J. ↓, Gouweleeuw J. ↑,
52', Matsima C. 🟨,
54', Keidel F. 🟨,
74', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Komur M. ↑,
74', Fellhauer R. ↓, Seol Young-Woo ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Gregoritsch M. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Pinckert L. 🟨,
77', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Futkeu N. ↑,
78', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
84', Kristof N. 🟨,
87', (Penalty overturned),
89', 4 - 2, Schmahl F. ⚽, Petkov L. (A),
90', 4 - 3, Komur M. ⚽, Behrens H. (A),
90+3', Keidel F. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
90+6', Schmahl F. 🟨,
90+8', Futkeu N. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Elversberg has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for Elversberg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Elversberg	7	3	1	3	12:15	-3	10
9	Augsburg	7	2	3	2	17:13	4	9

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.29% Elversberg: 0.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Union Berlin - Elversberg	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Schalke 04 - Elversberg	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Elversberg - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Elversberg	3:4 ✺
29.08.26	Elversberg - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LTLWW
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
10.10.26	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Werder Bremen - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
07.08.15	Elversberg - Augsburg	1:3 ET

Upcoming Matches