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Stuttgart vs Heidenheim Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, October 05, 2025)

Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart)

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stuttgart		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.8	6.25
	1.44	4.95	6.4	Watch
	1.44	5.3	6.67
	1.39	4.61	7.75	Watch

	1.47	5.25	6.89	Watch
	1.43	4.95	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	4.94 ↑ (4.82)	6.68 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
66.4%

Draw
19.3%

Heidenheim
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

19.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	5.7%	22.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stuttgart: 55.3% – 85.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Heidenheim (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Stuttgart (1.60) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Heidenheim (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 14. Jaquez L. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 30. Andres C. 27. Bouanani B. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 9. Demirovic E.	41. Ramaj D. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 19. Fohrenbach J. 16. Niehues J. 20. Kerber L. 3. Schoppner J. 30. Dorsch N. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 29. Kaufmann M.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 28. Nartey N. 15. Stenzel P. 6. Stiller A. 8. Tomas T. 4. Vagnoman J.	2. Busch M. 5. Gimber B. 27. Keller T. 28. Kolle A. 1. Muller K. (G) 33. Rothweiler N. 9. Schimmer S. 38. Wagner Y. 37. Weigel T.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', El Khannouss B. 🟨,
56', Karazor A. ↓, Stiller A. ↑,
56', Jaquez L. ↓, Al Dakhil A. ↑,
57', Bouanani B. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
64', Kerber L. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, El Khannouss B. ⚽, Mittelstadt M. (A),
74', Dorsch N. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
80', Kerber L. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
80', Niehues J. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
89', Kaufmann M. ↓, Weigel T. ↑,
89', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Kolle A. ↑,
90', Leweling J. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
90', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stuttgart is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Jeltsch F. (Muscle Injury) Undav D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Pieringer M. (Ankle Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Injury) Honsak M. (Muscle Injury) Kaufmann M. (Injury) Keller T. (Knee Injury) Mainka P. (Injury) Schimmer S. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Basel - Stuttgart	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
28.09.25	Köln - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Stuttgart - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.09.25	Stuttgart - St. Pauli	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Freiburg - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
27.09.25	Heidenheim - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Hamburger SV - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Kaiserslautern - Heidenheim	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.08.25	RB Leipzig - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
25.04.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	0:1
15.12.24	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	1:3
31.03.24	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:3
05.11.23	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	2:0
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
29.01.20	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:0
04.08.19	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	2:2

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