Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	17:30	FOX Sports


	Suchitepéquez		Aurora

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.40	3.70
	1.82	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.32	4.01
	1.86	3.51	4.03	Watch
	1.81	3.25	3.9
	1.78	3.36	4.01
	1.84	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.27)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	3.89 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suchitepéquez
49.7%

Draw
27%

Aurora
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.4%

27.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suchitepéquez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suchitepéquez's performance.

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aurora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suchitepéquez than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Suchitepéquez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aurora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suchitepéquez - Aurora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Secaida J. (G) 27. Artola C. 11. Cabrera N. 13. Galindo A. 10. Gonzalez F. 6. Herrera D. 21. Icute M. 25. Madrid C. 17. Rivas M. 5. Rodas D. 18. Zamorano A.	22. Sanchez L. (G) 3. Acosta M. 57. Aguilar L. 17. Bajan D. 14. Echeverria Perez A. J. 18. Grajeda J. 5. Lemus J. 4. Monterroso C. 13. Morales H. . Moran J. 10. Vivas J.
Substitutes
. Aguilar K. . Alvarado M. . Benavides Culan D. E. 22. Cacoj A. M. A. (G) 8. de Leon E. 70. de Leon F. 24. Matul J. 35. Rivera E. . Tambriz D.	2. Cardona L. 25. Diaz A. 15. Garcia K. 67. Hernandez R. 11. Ibarguen E. 1. Navas D. (G) 7. Rodriguez J. 28. Ticuru J. 31. Urias V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Rodas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Echeverria Perez A. J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
46', Aguilar L. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
46', Moran J. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
52', Acosta M. 🟨,
56', 2 - 1, Acosta M. ⚽,
58', Galindo A. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
58', Artola C. ↓, Alvarado M. ↑,
63', Monterroso C. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
65', 2 - 2, Morales H. ⚽,
67', Vivas J. 🟨,
74', Vivas J. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
88', Morales H. ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Suchitepéquez (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Aurora have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Suchitepéquez may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Suchitepéquez carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Suchitepéquez has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suchitepequez	16	1	6	9	18:34	-16	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Suchitepéquez
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.10.26	Marquense - Suchitepéquez	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Suchitepéquez - Deportivo San Pedro	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	Suchitepéquez - Deportivo Mixco	3:3 ✺
04.10.26	Comunicaciones - Suchitepéquez	3:0 ✺
24.09.26	Municipal - Suchitepéquez	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL
- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.10.26	Aurora - Deportivo San Pedro	3:1 ✺
14.10.26	Comunicaciones - Aurora	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Aurora - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Aurora	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cobán Imperial - Aurora	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Aurora - Suchitepéquez	3:2

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