Match Info

League One - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London)

Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	AFC Wimbledon		Bolton Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.86
	4.5	3.4	1.8
	3.7	3.45	1.92
	4.13	3.53	1.98
	4.13	3.38	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.91
	4.04	3.49	1.87	Watch
	4	3.5	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.42)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
23.3%

Draw
27.2%

Bolton Wanderers
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

26.5%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

26.1%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bolton will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 20%). Bolton (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bishop N. (G) 2. Asiimwe N. 33. Ogundere I. 6. Johnson R. 3. Seddon S. 8. Maycock C. 4. Reeves J. 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 11. Browne M. 16. Hackford A.	1. Bonham J. (G) 14. Osei-Tutu J. 3. Forino-Joseph C. 18. Toal E. (C) 6. Johnston G. 22. Dempsey K. 21. Erhahon E. 15. Apter R. 45. McAtee J. 35. Blackett-Taylor C. 10. Dalby S.
Substitutes
15. Bauer P. 9. Bugiel O. 21. Hippolyte M. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 37. Nelson Z. 30. Nkeng R. 14. Stevens M.	48. Burstow M. 29. Christie C. 20. Cissoko I. 11. Gale T. 23. Harrington D. (G) 4. Simons X. 24. Temple L.
Coaches
Jackson J.	Schumacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Blackett-Taylor C. ⚽, McAtee J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asiimwe N. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
60', McAtee J. 🟨,
67', Hackford A. ↓, Stevens M. ↑,
68', Blackett-Taylor C. ↓, Gale T. ↑,
68', McAtee J. ↓, Simons X. ↑,
72', Apter R. ↓, Cissoko I. ↑,
73', Maycock C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
79', Browne M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
80', Reeves J. ↓, Hippolyte M. ↑,
83', Dempsey K. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
83', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
90+5', Smith A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0.

Wimbledon has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bolton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bolton is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Sasu A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A. (Inactive) Forss M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hutchinson S. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of English League One for now

AFC Wimbledon: 0.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	AFC Wimbledon	9	3	3	3	7:10	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
24.01.26	Rotherham United - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.26	AFC Wimbledon - West Ham United U21	4:2 ✺
English League One
04.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
01.01.26	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWLW
- Bolton Wanderers
English League One
27.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Stevenage Borough - Bolton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Wigan Athletic - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Bolton Wanderers - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
06.09.25	Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	3:0
19.02.22	Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	4:0
14.08.21	AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers	3:3
07.03.20	AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers	0:0
07.12.19	Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	2:2
04.03.17	Bolton Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	1:1
13.08.16	AFC Wimbledon - Bolton Wanderers	1:2

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