The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sunderland 42.6%
Draw 29.6%
Wigan Athletic 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
29%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
29.1%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.7%
38.7%
22.6%
Sunderland - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Sunderland will win (votes: 12 - 38.7%). Wigan will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 38.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 21.6% – 55.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 9).
Sunderland has the most likely position - 19 (5.66%), has project points - 59, has currently - 17, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 19 (5.85%), has project points - 59, has currently - 19, has a small chance of relegated (13%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality40, small importance23, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Sunderland will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Sunderland: Ballard D.
(Foot Injury)
Evans C.
(Yellow Cards)
Huggins N.
(Heel Injury)
Simms E.
(Toe Injury)
Stewart R.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Injury)
Lang C.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Sunderland won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Sunderland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.