Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 36

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.5	5	5.5
	1.49	4.4	5.75
	1.47	4.5	6.5
	1.48	4.4	5.9
	1.46	4.8	6.86
	1.5	4.5	6
	1.47	4.55	6.04	Watch
	1.43	4.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)	4.59 ↑ (4.09)	6.04 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
63.9%

Draw
20.5%

Accrington Stanley
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

22.3%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Wrexham - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 32. Cleworth M. 15. O'Connell E. 25. Boyle W. 19. Mendy J. 20. Cannon A. 38. Lee E. 23. McClean J. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P. (C)	21. Vitek R. (G) 4. Mellor K. (C) 2. Shipley L. 16. Gubbins J. 38. O'Brien C. 25. Pickles A. 22. Martin D. 18. Leigh T. 7. Whalley S. 17. Nolan J. 55. Adedoyin K.
Substitutes
17. Bolton L. 7. Davies J. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. Marriott J. 4. Tozer B. 8. Young L.	26. Adekoya L. 30. Henderson A. 61. McIntyre J. (G) 20. Patrick O. 12. Quirk S. 27. Trickett L. 39. Woods J.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Coleman J.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Recent matches Wrexham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Accrington is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Accrington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
27.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Gillingham - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Wrexham - Notts County	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWW
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
27.02.24	Walsall - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Colchester United - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
13.02.24	Accrington Stanley - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Wrexham	2:0

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