Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 31

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Simpson S. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3.2
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.35	3.2	3.1
	2.31	3.25	3
	2.43	3.19	3.25
	2.3	3.4	2.8
	2.33	3.25	3.05	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.49)	3.24 ↓ (3.47)	3.06 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
40.2%

Draw
29%

Doncaster Rovers
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.8%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

26.5%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doncaster Rovers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Sutton United - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Doncaster will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sutton: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 23. Jackson R. 5. Goodliffe B. 22. Kizzi J. 3. Adom-Malaki S. 31. Lakin C. 15. Eastmond C. 38. Sanderson O. 42. Hart S. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 33. Angol L.	15. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 2. Sterry J. 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 10. Rowe T. 17. Bailey O. 6. Wood R. 23. Senior J. 47. Adelakun H. 20. Ironside J. 40. Waters B.
Substitutes
25. Arnold S. (G) 10. Beautyman H. 6. John L. 27. Moore D. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 9. Smith H.	8. Broadbent G. 37. Craig M. 21. Hurst K. 12. Jones L. (G) 3. Maxwell J. 7. Molyneux L. 11. Taylor J.
Coaches
Morison S.	McCann G.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 22).

The competitors look crappy now.

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
30.01.24	Sutton United - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Walsall - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Sutton United - Barrow	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTTTL
- Doncaster Rovers
English EFL Trophy
30.01.24	Bradford City - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
English League Two
27.01.24	Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County	1:5 ✺
English EFL Trophy
16.01.24	Doncaster Rovers - Wigan Athletic	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
13.01.24	Doncaster Rovers - Newport County	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Harrogate Town - Doncaster Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.10.23	Doncaster Rovers - Sutton United	4:1
18.02.23	Sutton United - Doncaster Rovers	2:0
06.08.22	Doncaster Rovers - Sutton United	2:1

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