Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 28

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Barrow

	1	X	2
	4	3.2	2.05
	3.6	3.2	2.05
	3.75	3.3	2.05
	4.01	3.36	2.08
	4.01	3.36	2.05
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.71	3.32	2.05	Watch
	3.65	3.15	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (3.81)	3.27 ↓ (3.71)	2.05 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
25%

Draw
28.9%

Barrow
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

25.4%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

24.8%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Sutton United - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Barrow will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 23. Jackson R. 5. Goodliffe B. 4. Sowunmi O. 22. Kizzi J. 10. Beautyman H. 8. N'Guessan C. 40. O'Brien A. 15. Eastmond C. 11. Patrick O. 33. Angol L.	1. Farman P. (G) 17. Chester J. 5. Ray G. 6. Canavan N. 24. Feely R. 8. Spence K. 4. Campbell D. 16. Foley S. 11. Newby E. 34. Whitfield B. 9. Proctor J.
Substitutes
25. Arnold S. (G) 16. Clay C. 7. Coley J. 19. Fadahunsi T. 6. John L. 31. Lakin C. 24. Milsom R.	20. Acquah E. 10. Garner G. 15. Gotts R. 12. Lillis J. (G) 3. Ogungbo M. 19. Telford D. 13. White T.
Coaches
Morison S.	Wild P.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 2.

Sutton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barrow is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barrow will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Sutton United - Mansfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTLWL
- Barrow
English League Two
06.01.24	Barrow - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
01.01.24	Wrexham - Barrow	4:1 ✺
29.12.23	Barrow - Accrington Stanley	1:1 ✺
26.12.23	Barrow - Stockport County	2:2 ✺
22.12.23	Crewe Alexandra - Barrow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.08.23	Barrow - Sutton United	2:1
11.03.23	Barrow - Sutton United	0:0
13.08.22	Sutton United - Barrow	1:0
23.04.22	Barrow - Sutton United	1:0
27.11.21	Sutton United - Barrow	1:0
English National League
22.02.20	Sutton United - Barrow	2:2
02.11.19	Barrow - Sutton United	1:0

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