Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 30

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)


	Walsall		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5.25
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.68	3.75	5
	1.74	3.7	5
	1.71	3.74	5.43
	1.67	3.6	4.75
	1.69	3.7	4.94	Watch
	1.65	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.69 ↓ (3.78)	5.02 ↑ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
55.8%

Draw
25.5%

Sutton United
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

24.2%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	14.3%	7.1%

Walsall - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Walsall will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Evans O. (G) 2. Okagbue D. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Daniels D. (C) 10. Knowles T. 17. Earing J. 14. Comley B. 8. Hutchinson I. 3. Gordon L. 11. James-Taylor D. 23. Faal M.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 6. John L. 22. Kizzi J. 15. Eastmond C. (C) 23. Jackson R. 31. Lakin C. 10. Beautyman H. 50. Duke-McKenna S. 42. Hart S. 27. Moore D. 33. Angol L.
Substitutes
36. Adegboyega E. 21. Allen T. 18. Gordon J. 9. Matt J. 22. Smith J. (G) 25. Stirk R. 26. Tierney R.	3. Adom-Malaki S. 25. Arnold S. (G) 7. Coley J. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 38. Sanderson O. 4. Sowunmi O.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.	Morison S.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Recent matches Walsall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sutton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Walsall is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
13.01.24	Stockport County - Walsall	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Southampton - Walsall	4:0 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Grimsby Town - Walsall	1:6 ✺
29.12.23	Walsall - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Walsall - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LLWWW
- Sutton United
English League Two
23.01.24	Mansfield Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Sutton United - Barrow	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Plymouth Argyle - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
English League Two
01.01.24	Sutton United - Newport County	1:1 ✺
29.12.23	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.10.23	Sutton United - Walsall	4:0
01.04.23	Walsall - Sutton United	1:1
22.10.22	Sutton United - Walsall	1:1
12.03.22	Walsall - Sutton United	1:0
30.10.21	Sutton United - Walsall	0:1

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