Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 12

Date: 7 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.55	3.3	2.6
	2.5	3.5	2.7
	2.63	3.45	2.76
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.56	3.44	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.47)	3.41 ↓ (3.54)	2.66 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
36.9%

Draw
27.6%

Walsall
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.5%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	7.7%	61.5%

Sutton United - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Walsall will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 5. Goodliffe B. (C) 42. Hart S. 7. Coley J. 16. Clay C. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 9. Smith H. 40. O'Brien A.	1. Evans O. (G) 7. Riley J. 5. Daniels D. (C) 19. Williams H. 3. Gordon L. 10. Knowles T. 4. McEntee O. 25. Stirk R. 20. Oteh A. 9. Matt J. 39. Johnson D.
Substitutes
33. Angol L. 25. Arnold S. (G) 10. Beautyman H. 23. Jackson R. 29. Kasimu H. 18. Pereira D.	15. Draper F. 12. Foulkes J. 42. Griffiths H. 8. Hutchinson I. 11. James-Taylor D. 22. Smith J. (G) 26. Tierney R.
Coaches
Gray M.	Sadler M. J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 13).

Sutton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Walsall is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
03.10.23	Sutton United - Salford City	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Crawley Town - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.09.23	Port Vale - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League Two
23.09.23	Sutton United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Sutton United - Aston Villa U21	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Walsall FC
English League Two
03.10.23	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Bradford City - Walsall	1:3 ✺
23.09.23	Walsall - AFC Wimbledon	1:3 ✺
16.09.23	Swindon Town - Walsall	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Salford City - Walsall	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
01.04.23	Walsall - Sutton United	1:1
22.10.22	Sutton United - Walsall	1:1
12.03.22	Walsall - Sutton United	1:0
30.10.21	Sutton United - Walsall	0:1

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