Match Info

Championship - Round 46

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Swansea City		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.75	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.4
	1.83	3.69	4.26	Watch
	1.84	3.8	4.45
	1.84	3.75	4.14	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.8	3.68	4.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)	3.68 ↑ (3.52)	4.22 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
52.1%

Draw
25.6%

Charlton Athletic
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

25.9%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Swansea City - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Charlton will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fisher A. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 6. Stamenic M. 35. Ronald 20. Cullen L. 7. Widell M. 9. Vipotnik Z.	1. Kaminski T. (G) 32. Burke R. 5. Jones L. 3. Gillesphey M. 44. Clarke H. 15. Coady C. (C) 6. Coventry C. 19. Chambers L. 41. Knibbs H. 77. Fevrier J. 99. Dykes L.
Substitutes
29. Farman P. (G) 4. Fulton J. 18. Gustavo Nunes 33. Idah A. 21. Walta L. 25. Ward J. 42. Watts D. 44. Woodward T. 8. Yalcouye M.	8. Berry L. 14. Carey S. 37. Fullah I. 36. Gough K. 23. Kelman C. 11. Leaburn M. 25. Mannion W. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 26. Rankin-Costello J.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Widell M. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Stamenic M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
60', Fevrier J. ↓, Rankin-Costello J. ↑,
60', Burke R. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
61', Coady C. ↓, Carey S. ↑,
65', Cullen L. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Idah A. ⚽, Key J. (A),
75', Knibbs H. ↓, Berry L. ↑,
77', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Woodward T. ↑,
78', Key J. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
78', Dykes L. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Leaburn M. ⚽, Carey S. (A),
82', 2 - 1, Idah A. ⚽, Woodward T. (A),
88', 3 - 1, Walta L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Swansea is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 7.34% Charlton: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Swansea	9	6	2	1	15:7	8	20
11	Charlton	9	3	4	2	8:11	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
25.04.26	Norwich City - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Swansea City - Southampton	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Leicester City - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Swansea City - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWLWT
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
25.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Preston North End	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Watford - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:1
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:2
English League Championship
02.01.20	Swansea City - Charlton Athletic	1:0
02.10.19	Charlton Athletic - Swansea City	1:2

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