Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Swansea City		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.10
	2.45	3.60	2.32
	2.79	3.45	2.28
	2.69	3.30	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.19
	2.88	3.50	2.30	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.14)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	2.28 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
33.4%

Draw
26.6%

Holstein Kiel
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

25.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea City's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel's recent form is better than expected.

Swansea City - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G)
5. Cabango B.
20. Cullen L.
4. Fulton J.
33. Idah A.
26. Lissah F.
35. Ronald
14. Tymon J.
21. Walta L.
23. Welsh S.
49. Yeo M. K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ronald ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Zec D. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Idah A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 2 - 2, Alidou F. ⚽,

Preview

Neutral location.

Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Swansea is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Holstein Kiel - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.71%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
02.05.26	Swansea City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Norwich City - Swansea City	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Swansea City - Southampton	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Leicester City - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTWLW
- Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Holstein Kiel - Al-Ahli Jeddah	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Holstein Kiel - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLLWW

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