Match Info

Championship - Round 10

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Den (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	20:45	Viaplay
Finland	21:45	Viaplay
Iceland	18:45	Viaplay
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay


	Millwall		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.85	Watch
	2.40	3.30	2.90
	2.38	3.21	3.07	Watch
	2.43	3.36	3.17
	2.38	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3.3	3.05
	2.5	3.48	2.83	Watch
	2.37	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.38)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	2.97 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
39.6%

Draw
28.4%

Swansea City
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

28.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	12.5%	31.2%

Millwall - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Millwall (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (2.00) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Marschall F. (G) 2. Osei-Tutu J. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 14. Metcalfe J. 17. Sykes M. 10. Neghli C. 22. Lisbie K. 13. Dykes L.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 26. Lissah F. 5. Cabango B. (C) 3. Seelt J. 14. Tymon J. 8. Just E. 4. Fulton J. 6. Stamenic M. 49. Yeo M. K. 9. Vipotnik Z. 30. Opoku J.
Substitutes
12. Baggott E. 4. Crama T. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 45. Doughty A. 35. Issoufou Y. 16. Kelly D. 18. Leonard R. 29. Lovelace Z.	10. Eom Ji-Sung 1. Fisher A. (G) 17. Franco G. 33. Idah A. 16. Iorpenda T. 35. Ronald 31. Stewart R. 23. Welsh S. 7. Widell M.
Coaches
Neil A.	Emanuel Soares Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Fulton J. 🟨,
23', Mazou-Sacko D. 🟨,
23', Emanuel Soares Matos V. 🟨,
44', Dykes L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Sturge Z. 🟨,
64', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Crama T. ↑,
64', Metcalfe J. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
65', Lisbie K. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
65', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
65', Just E. ↓, Widell M. ↑,
65', Fulton J. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
77', Seelt J. ↓, Welsh S. ↑,
83', Lissah F. 🟨,
84', Sykes M. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
84', Yeo M. K. ↓, Ronald ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Ronald ⚽, Opoku J. (A),
90+2', Neghli C. ↓, Kelly D. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Championship Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 4.

Millwall has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Swansea shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) De Norre C. (Muscle Injury) Ivanovic M. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Muscle Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Swansea: Burgess C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Eustaquio S. (Injury) Key J. (Health problems).

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Millwall has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:18 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Millwall against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Swansea	12	7	2	3	16:13	3	23
13	Millwall	12	4	3	5	19:20	-1	15

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Swansea: 7.2% Millwall: 2.63%

Last Results with these Odds

Millwall - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.09%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
10.10.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Millwall - West Ham United	2:2 ✺
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Millwall - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTTLL
- Swansea City
English League Championship
10.10.26	Swansea City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lincoln City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Swansea City - Burnley	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Southampton - Swansea City	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Swansea City - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.01.26	Millwall - Swansea City	2:1
27.09.25	Swansea City - Millwall	1:1
26.04.25	Millwall - Swansea City	1:0
26.10.24	Swansea City - Millwall	0:1
04.05.24	Swansea City - Millwall	0:1
30.09.23	Millwall - Swansea City	0:3
14.03.23	Millwall - Swansea City	2:1

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