Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Den (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Maximo 360, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Azerbaijan	15:30	Setanta Sports 2
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	06:30	ESPN 7
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN 7
Estonia	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	14:30	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9
Georgia	15:30	Setanta Sports 2
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
India	17:00	FanCode
Ireland	12:30	NOW
Israel	14:30	Sport 4
Japan	20:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	14:30	Gotv
Kosovo	13:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	17:30	Setanta Sports 2
Lithuania	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	05:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Moldova	14:30	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	12:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Paraguay	07:30	ESPN 7
Peru	06:30	Disney+, ESPN 7
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	19:30	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	13:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	13:30	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	13:30	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Tajikistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 2
Turkmenistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	14:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	12:30	ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN 7


	Millwall		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.57	Watch
	4.80	3.80	1.70
	4.91	3.86	1.68	Watch
	5.02	4.19	1.69
	4.56	4.05	1.7	Watch
	4.95	4.15	1.66
	5.37	4.18	1.62	Watch
	4.7	4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.75)	4.04 (4.04)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
19.3%

Draw
23.5%

West Ham United
57.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

23.4%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

23.1%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting West Ham United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for West Ham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.2%	93.7%

Millwall - West Ham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: West Ham United will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Marschall F. (G) 2. Osei-Tutu J. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 14. Metcalfe J. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 17. Sykes M. 13. Dykes L. 10. Neghli C. 7. Arconte T.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 5. Morato 20. Bowen J. (C) 14. Mukasa D. 7. Engels A. 10. Solomon M. 9. Piroe J. 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
12. Baggott E. 23. Batth D. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 45. Doughty A. 35. Issoufou Y. 16. Kelly D. 22. Lisbie K. 8. Servais M.	66. Ajala J. 35. Austbo E. 58. Golambeckis A. 49. Herrick F. (G) 17. Kante M. 27. Magassa S. 61. Orford L. 19. Pablo 30. Scarles O.
Coaches
Neil A.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Taylor C. ⚽,
40', Morato 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽, Dykes L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Piroe J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
46', Walker-Peters K. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
68', Mukasa D. ↓, Austbo E. ↑,
70', Sykes M. ↓, Baggott E. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Kante M. ⚽, Pablo (A),
80', 2 - 2, Mavropanos K. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
81', Arconte T. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
81', Metcalfe J. ↓, Servais M. ↑,
83', Pablo 🟨,
86', Kilman M. 🟨,
89', Kante M. 🟥,
90+1', Castellanos T. ↓, Orford L. ↑,
90+1', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
90+5', Mavropanos K. 🟨,
90+6', Lisbie K. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent results have been tough for Millwall (last 5 matches: 1 win).

West Ham is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

West Ham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, West Ham has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to West Ham for this game.

Confirmed absences for Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Crama T. (Inactive) De Norre C. (Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Ivanovic M. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Inactive) Leonard R. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Servais M. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for West Ham: Soucek T. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Millwall: Lisbie K. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for West Ham: Veltman J. (Inactive).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Millwall has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	West Ham	13	6	4	3	33:18	15	22
12	Millwall	13	5	3	5	23:21	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Millwall - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
05.09.26	Millwall - Bolton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
02.09.26	Millwall - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL
- West Ham United
English League Cup
15.09.26	West Ham United - Fulham	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
11.09.26	West Ham United - Wrexham	6:0 ✺
08.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - West Ham United	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	West Ham United - Derby County	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.02.12	West Ham United - Millwall	2:1

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