Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The Den (London)

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Millwall		West Ham United

	1	X	2
	5	4.1	1.57	Watch
	4.80	3.80	1.70
	4.91	3.86	1.68	Watch
	5.02	4.19	1.69
	4.56	4.05	1.7	Watch
	4.95	4.15	1.66
	5.37	4.18	1.62	Watch
	4.7	4	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.75)	4.04 (4.04)	1.66 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millwall
19.3%

Draw
23.5%

West Ham United
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

23.4%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

23.1%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.

West Ham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting West Ham United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for West Ham United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for West Ham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.2%	93.7%

Millwall - West Ham United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.67) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: West Ham United will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Marschall F. (G) 2. Osei-Tutu J. 6. Taylor C. 5. Cooper J. (C) 3. Sturge Z. 14. Metcalfe J. 49. Mazou-Sacko D. 17. Sykes M. 13. Dykes L. 10. Neghli C. 7. Arconte T.	1. Hermansen M. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 15. Mavropanos K. 3. Kilman M. 5. Morato 20. Bowen J. (C) 14. Mukasa D. 7. Engels A. 10. Solomon M. 9. Piroe J. 11. Castellanos T.
Substitutes
12. Baggott E. 23. Batth D. 15. Crocombe M. (G) 25. Cundle L. 45. Doughty A. 35. Issoufou Y. 16. Kelly D. 22. Lisbie K. 8. Servais M.	66. Ajala J. 35. Austbo E. 58. Golambeckis A. 49. Herrick F. (G) 17. Kante M. 27. Magassa S. 61. Orford L. 19. Pablo 30. Scarles O.
Coaches
Neil A.	Espirito Santo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Taylor C. ⚽,
40', Morato 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Neghli C. ⚽, Dykes L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Piroe J. ↓, Pablo ↑,
46', Walker-Peters K. ↓, Kante M. ↑,
68', Mukasa D. ↓, Austbo E. ↑,
70', Sykes M. ↓, Baggott E. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Kante M. ⚽, Pablo (A),
80', 2 - 2, Mavropanos K. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
81', Arconte T. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
81', Metcalfe J. ↓, Servais M. ↑,
83', Pablo 🟨,
86', Kilman M. 🟨,
89', Kante M. 🟥,
90+1', Castellanos T. ↓, Orford L. ↑,
90+1', Mazou-Sacko D. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
90+5', Mavropanos K. 🟨,
90+6', Lisbie K. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion ~ Premier League).

Recent results have been tough for Millwall (last 5 matches: 1 win).

West Ham is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

West Ham could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, West Ham has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to West Ham for this game.

Confirmed absences for Millwall: Coburn J. (Muscle Injury) Crama T. (Inactive) De Norre C. (Injury) Doughty A. (Hamstring Injury) Ivanovic M. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen L. (Inactive) Leonard R. (Hamstring Injury) Luongo M. (Knee Injury) Servais M. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for West Ham: Soucek T. (Ankle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Millwall: Lisbie K. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for West Ham: Veltman J. (Inactive).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Millwall has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

West Ham: 41.01% Millwall: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	West Ham	9	4	4	1	23:12	11	16
8	Millwall	9	4	2	3	16:15	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millwall
English League Championship
15.09.26	Middlesbrough - Millwall	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Blackburn Rovers - Millwall	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Millwall - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
05.09.26	Millwall - Bolton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
02.09.26	Millwall - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWL
- West Ham United
English League Cup
15.09.26	West Ham United - Fulham	2:3 ✺
English League Championship
11.09.26	West Ham United - Wrexham	6:0 ✺
08.09.26	Bolton Wanderers - West Ham United	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	West Ham United - Derby County	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
04.02.12	West Ham United - Millwall	2:1

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