Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Ajibola A. (Eng)


	Reading		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	4.8
	1.5	4.5	5	Watch
	1.47	4.86	5.78
	1.65	3.9	4
	1.49	4.5	5.3
	1.51	4.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.85)	4.36 ↑ (3.6)	4.98 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
60.5%

Draw
21.1%

Swindon Town
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.3%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading's performance.

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Swindon Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swindon Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	3.8%	7.7%

Reading - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Reading will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 17. Yiadom A. (C) 3. Holmes T. 2. Mola C. 18. Guinness-Walker N. 7. Knibbs H. 40. Rushesha T. 36. Craig M. 12. Mukairu P. 19. Wareham J. 42. Vickers C.	44. Ward L. (G) 31. Minturn H. 36. Hart S. 45. Adams F. 14. Genesini B. 6. McEachran G. (C) 23. Kinsella L. 19. Uwakwe T. 28. Shade T. 26. Dworzak A. 41. Obodo M.
Substitutes
11. Azeez F. 1. Button D. (G) 47. Carson M. 6. Dean H. 15. Ehibhatiomhan K. 38. Stickland M. 29. Wing L.	48. Alston G. 47. Evans R. (G) 37. Fox H. 46. Gray H. 43. Hubbard F. 49. Hutt L. 42. Keyes J.
Coaches
Selles R.	Flynn M.

Preview

Reading is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Swindon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Reading have a series of guest games.

In this match Reading is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Reading won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
07.10.23	Leyton Orient - Reading	2:1 ✺
03.10.23	Northampton Town - Reading	3:1 ✺
30.09.23	Reading - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Blackpool - Reading	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Exeter City - Reading	0:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLTLW
- Swindon Town
English League Two
07.10.23	Bradford City - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
03.10.23	Notts County - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
30.09.23	Swindon Town - Grimsby Town	2:1 ✺
23.09.23	Morecambe - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
16.09.23	Swindon Town - Walsall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
19.07.16	Swindon Town - Reading	1:2

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