The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 39.9%
Draw 27.6%
Oldham Athletic 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
27.3%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
27.7%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oldham Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Swindon Town - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 50.6% – 100%.
1. Ripley C. (G) 8. Clarke O. (C) 17. Tafazolli R. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 29. Olakigbe M. 21. Scanlon J. 7. Nichols T. 19. Snowdon J. 23. Drinan A. 25. Borland A. 28. Palmer O.
1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 40. Simeu D. 5. Daniels D. 6. Monthe M. 24. Robson J. 7. Taylor K. 4. Pett T. (C) 26. Payne K. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 17. Kavanagh C.
Substitutes
26. Batty J. 30. Hoilett J. 24. Holman F. 18. Kilkenny G. 20. Middlemas B. 44. Oldaker D. 12. Ward L. (G)
31. Donaghy T. (G) 15. Drummond K. 27. Hammond O. 19. Hannant L. 22. Jalo F. 11. Stevens J. 8. Woods R.
Coaches
Holloway I.
Mellon M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Caprice J. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Scanlon J. ⚽, Drinan A. (A),
31', Daniels D. 🟨,
37', Wilson-Brown T. 🟨,
45+1', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Batty J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Taylor K. ↓, Drummond K. ↑,
61', Palmer O. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
61', Scanlon J. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
61', Borland A. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
63', Snowdon J. 🟨,
73', 2 - 0, Holman F. ⚽,
75', Simeu D. ↓, Stevens J. ↑,
80', Kavanagh C. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Olakigbe M. ↓, Middlemas B. ↑,
90+3', Batty J. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 0, Drinan A. ⚽, Hoilett J. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Swindon has had a series of away games.
Swindon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Oldham: 2.41% Swindon: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Swindon
10
3
2
5
9:14
-5
11
21
Oldham
9
2
2
5
9:13
-4
8
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Ripley C. (G) 
Scanlon J. 
Drinan A. 
Borland A. 
Daniels D. 
Monthe M. 
Hoilett J. 
Hammond O. 
Jalo F. 
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