Match Info

League Two - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Notts County		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	2.08	3.35	3.35	Watch
	2.16	3.46	3.43
	2.15	3.3	3.33	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.13	3.3	3.33	Watch
	2.12	3.33	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.15)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	3.33 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
44%

Draw
28.1%

Swindon Town
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

27.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Notts County - Swindon Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Swindon (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Swindon (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. (C) 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Norburn O. 26. Hall T. 10. Jones J. 14. Iorpenda T. 11. Grant C. 29. Jatta A.	1. Ripley C. (G) 33. McGregor J. 5. Wright W. 6. Ball J. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 18. Kilkenny G. 8. Clarke O. (C) 44. Oldaker D. 19. Snowdon J. 23. Drinan A. 24. Holman F.
Substitutes
19. Dennis M. 22. Enoru B. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 17. Kouhyar Q. 39. Ndlovu L. 12. Ness L. 20. Robertson S.	3. Mabete F. 7. Nichols T. 29. Olakigbe M. 28. Palmer O. 11. Tabor J. 17. Tafazolli R. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Paterson M.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Clarke O. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽, Bedeau J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Clarke O. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
59', Holman F. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
65', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Jatta A. (A),
73', Oldaker D. ↓, Olakigbe M. ↑,
73', Snowdon J. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
76', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
77', Iorpenda T. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
85', Jones J. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
85', Norburn O. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Notts County will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive) McDonald R. (Injury)

There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B. (Inactive) Knight-Lebel J. (Inactive) Mabete F. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Swindon: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Swindon	10	3	2	5	9:14	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Notts County - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.66%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Swindon Town - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 29.88%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
24.01.26	Notts County - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Crawley Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
01.01.26	Notts County - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
29.12.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Chesterfield - Notts County	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTL
- Swindon Town
English League Two
24.01.26	Bromley - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
20.01.26	Salford City - Swindon Town	3:2 ✺
English League Two
17.01.26	Swindon Town - Salford City	2:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.01.26	Luton Town - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
English League Two
01.01.26	Swindon Town - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
21.10.25	Swindon Town - Notts County	2:2
04.01.25	Notts County - Swindon Town	2:0
31.08.24	Swindon Town - Notts County	1:2
29.03.24	Swindon Town - Notts County	2:1
03.10.23	Notts County - Swindon Town	3:1
04.05.19	Swindon Town - Notts County	3:1
27.10.18	Notts County - Swindon Town	1:2

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