Match Info

Date: 2 February 2021, Tuesday


	Swindon Town		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.75
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.6	3.3	2.75
	2.55	3.15	2.7
	2.6	3.3	2.8
	2.55	3.1	2.75
	2.65	3.34	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.39)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	2.78 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
36.8%

Draw
29.1%

Wigan Athletic
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

29.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

22.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wigan Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.6%	28.1%	31.2%

Swindon Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 26 - 40.6%). Wigan will win (votes: 20 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 28.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 28.6% – 52.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Swindon has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wigan has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Swindon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wigan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swindon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League One
30.01.21	Hull City - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
26.01.21	Swindon Town - Plymouth Argyle	0:2 ✺
23.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
16.01.21	Swindon Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
09.01.21	Ipswich Town - Swindon Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTLW
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
26.01.21	Wigan Athletic - Blackpool	0:5 ✺
23.01.21	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	0:0 ✺
16.01.21	Rochdale - Wigan Athletic	3:3 ✺
29.12.20	Burton Albion - Wigan Athletic	3:4 ✺
26.12.20	Wigan Athletic - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.03.16	Swindon Town - Wigan Athletic	1:4
31.10.15	Wigan Athletic - Swindon Town	1:0

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