The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rochdale 39.9%
Draw 27.9%
Wigan Athletic 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
27.9%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
19.2%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochdale that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rochdale - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 23 in the zone Relegation to League Two).
Rochdale has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wigan has a chance of relegated (40%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Wigan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Rochdale will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.