Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday


	Hull City		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8
	1.36	4.75	7.75
	1.4	4.9	7.6
	1.38	4.7	7.2
	1.4	4.96	8.63
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.42	5.1	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)	4.84 ↑ (4.5)	7.88 ↑ (6.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
68.5%

Draw
19.5%

Swindon Town
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

20.9%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76%

17.8%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hull City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Hull City - Swindon Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Championship and 22 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a good chance of promoted (68%), has a chance of win league (36%).

Swindon has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hull is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Swindon is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swindon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hull is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hull won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League One
26.01.21	Accrington Stanley - Hull City	2:0 ✺
23.01.21	Portsmouth - Hull City	0:4 ✺
19.01.21	Hull City - Accrington Stanley	3:0 ✺
16.01.21	Hull City - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.01.21	Hull City - Fleetwood Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTW
- Swindon Town
English League One
26.01.21	Swindon Town - Plymouth Argyle	0:2 ✺
23.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
16.01.21	Swindon Town - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ✺
09.01.21	Ipswich Town - Swindon Town	2:3 ✺
29.12.20	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
31.10.20	Swindon Town - Hull City	2:1

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