Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA - TROFÉU INTERIOR - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)


	São Bernardo		Internacional de Limeira

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6.25
	1.45	3.6	6.5
	1.51	3.57	5.92
	1.47	3.4	7.5
	1.52	3.84	6.35	Watch
	1.5	3.7	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (2.35)	3.64 ↑ (3.08)	6.46 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
60.9%

Draw
25%

Internacional de Limeira
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

29.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Bernardo's performance.

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Internacional de Limeira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-22.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Bernardo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Internacional de Limeira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	7.7%	3.8%

São Bernardo - Internacional de Limeira Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Inter de Limeira will win (votes: 1 - 3.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 76.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches São Bernardo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Inter de Limeira is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches São Bernardo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.03.23	Palmeiras - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	São Bernardo - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	São Bernardo - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.23	São Paulo - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
22.02.23	Ituano - São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLLWW
- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.03.23	Santo André - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 penalties ✺
05.03.23	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Internacional de Limeira - Guarani	0:5 ✺
18.02.23	Internacional de Limeira - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
15.02.23	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.01.23	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	0:3
12.03.22	Internacional de Limeira - São Bernardo	2:1

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