Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 36

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tabasalu Arena (Tabasalu)


	Tabasalu		Nõmme United U21

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.65	1.65
	15.00	4.89	1.21	Watch
	3.63	4.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↑ (3.57)	4.78 ↑ (4.73)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
13.5%

Draw
20.9%

Nõmme United U21
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

19.4%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

18.9%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tabasalu's form might have worsened.

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tabasalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kristel R. (G) 5. Nilsen J. 16. Pelt K. 66. Salei S. (C) 7. Pormeister K. 10. Lindemann R. 80. Taal J. 4. Kokla J. 17. Riigov R. 22. Vilisoo E. 32. Anepaio A.	91. Ortega R. (G) 19. Tiigiste R. 25. Kabal G. (C) 7. Kais J. 23. Marmei M. 12. MIhelson S. 66. Palu R. 80. Molder K. 45. Leppik R. 16. Gusarov A. 77. Tomingas K.
Substitutes
76. Altmets K. 12. Ilves R. (G) 11. Matvejev T. 14. Moor A. 77. Roste R. 24. Sarapuu A. 26. Vuks H. O.	31. Kaspar A. 10. Krasnov I. 20. Polda P. (G) 84. Rei H. 18. Saarnak J. 8. Valge A. 36. Veske S. 17. Zilmer K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Gusarov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Tabasalu have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nõmme United U21 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tabasalu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tabasalu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 1:5.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
01.11.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Tabasalu - Tartu Kalev	3:9 ✺
18.10.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Tabasalu	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tabasalu	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Tabasalu - Paide U21	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LLWTT
- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
30.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Maardu Linnameeskond	3:3 ✺
27.10.25	Kuressaare U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:4 ✺
22.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Jõhvi Phoenix	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Tartu Kalev - Nõmme United U21	0:4 ✺
12.10.25	Nõmme United U21 - Narva Trans U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
30.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	6:0
05.07.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	5:2

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