Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 5

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Tacuarembó		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.30	2.85	2.90
	2.20	2.90	3.20
	2.43	2.90	3.14
	2.56	2.63	3.27	Watch
	2.40	2.70	3.00
	2.36	2.83	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)	2.8 ↓ (2.95)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
38.3%

Draw
32.4%

Uruguay Montevideo
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Uruguay Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tacuarembó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.91%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWTT
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.04.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:1
25.10.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	0:0
03.08.25	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0
25.09.24	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0
10.06.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0
07.04.24	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3
29.11.23	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0

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