Match Info

Cymru South - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Ammanford		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.15	6.7
	1.33	5.46	6.61
	1.34	5.31	7.10	Watch
	1.3	5.15	7.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	5.27 ↓ (5.31)	6.99 ↓ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
69.5%

Draw
17.4%

Cwmbran Celtic
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

17.5%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

16.6%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Cwmbran Celtic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Doolan C. ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, Euros G. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, Llewelyn M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 2.

Ammanford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ammanford is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ammanford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 2.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ammanford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 3.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.25	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Trefelin - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Ammanford - Caerau Ely	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTLW
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Caerau Ely	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Trethomas Bluebirds	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Aberystwyth Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Treowen Stars - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
25.10.24	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	6:2
26.08.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	4:0
06.01.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	2:1
17.11.23	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	4:3
10.04.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	1:1
29.10.22	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	3:2
26.02.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Ammanford	1:0

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