Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Talavera de la Reina		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.46	3.75	6
	1.57	3.6	6
	1.48	3.9	7.22
	1.48	3.9	7.22
	1.56	3.64	6.13
	1.52	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.63)	3.71 ↑ (3.27)	6.37 ↑ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
60.8%

Draw
24.7%

Llerenense
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

28.1%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

27.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Talavera de la Reina - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Caio Emerson ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Villajos M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Talavera is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Talavera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Montijo - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLW
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Llerenense - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	UD San Fernando - Llerenense	0:2 ✺
17.03.24	Llerenense - CD Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	Unión Adarve - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Llerenense - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.11.23	Llerenense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0

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