The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CSKA Moscow 33.2%
Draw 30.5%
Spartak Moscow 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
27.3%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
28.9%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.
Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
CSKA Moscow - Spartak Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Spartak M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Spartak M (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Akinfeev I. (G) 22. Gajic M. 78. Diveev I. 4. Joao Victor 27. Moises 10. Oblyakov I. 31. Kislyak M. 3. Krugovoy D. 7. Matheus Alves 17. Glebov K. 11. Musaev T.
98. Maksimenko A. (G) 97. Denisov D. 4. Djiku A. 68. Litvinov R. 6. Babic S. 83. Fernandes G. 18. Umyarov N. 5. Barco E. 7. Solari P. 9. Ugalde M. 10. Marquinhos
Substitutes
23. Abdulkadyrov D. 9. Alerrandro 52. Bandikyan A. 37. Henrique Carmo 90. Lukin M. 30. Popolitov G. 20. Popovic M. 19. Ruiz D. 8. Shumansky A. 49. Torop V. (G) 18. Verde L. 5. Villagra R.
77. Bongonda T. 27. Dmitriev I. 11. Garcia L. 88. Guziev E. 35. Martins C. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 2. Reabciuk O. 14. Samoshnikov I. 3. Wooh C. 91. Zabolotnyi A. 47. Zobnin R. 28. Zorin D.
Coaches
Celestini F.
Sakic N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Glebov K. ⚽, Krugovoy D. (A),
7', Musaev T. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
12', 2 - 0, Oblyakov I. (Pen),
18', 3 - 0, Krugovoy D. ⚽, Alerrandro (A),
21', 3 - 1, Fernandes G. ⚽, Litvinov R. (A),
33', Djiku A. 🟨,
39', Diveev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Babic S. ↓, Dmitriev I. ↑,
46', Marquinhos ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
47', Joao Victor 🟨,
57', 3 - 2, Garcia L. ⚽,
61', Akinfeev I. ↓, Torop V. ↑,
62', Joao Victor ↓, Lukin M. ↑,
62', Matheus Alves ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
67', Umyarov N. 🟨,
70', Moises 🟨,
77', Glebov K. ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
88', Denisov D. ↓, Zabolotnyi A. ↑,
88', Barco E. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
90+5', Ugalde M. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 1.
CSKA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Spartak M is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
Belarus
Russia
Serbia
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Akinfeev I. (G) 
Gajic M. 
Joao Victor 
Djiku A. 
Fernandes G. 
Barco E. 
Ugalde M. 
Bandikyan A. 
Ruiz D. 
Shumansky A. 
Bongonda T. 
Garcia L. 
Martins C. 
Reabciuk O. 
Wooh C. 
Celestini F. 
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