Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 15

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Tamme Stadium (Tartu)

Referee: Frischer J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Tammeka		Pärnu Vaprus

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.50	3.10
	1.92	3.45	3.55
	2.05	3.63	3.47
	2.11	3.5	3.22	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.95	3.45	3.36	Watch
	1.95	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.08)	3.49 ↓ (3.55)	3.29 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka
46.3%

Draw
26%

Pärnu Vaprus
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

25.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

25.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tammeka will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tammeka: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lapa K. (G) 3. Pedro Manoel 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 79. Marin P. 23. Veelma P. 7. Thomas Lisboa 99. Hydara M. 28. Kallas R. 10. Uggeri G. 19. Koskor T. 89. Kauan Pereira	16. Nomm O. (C) 43. Seppik M. 28. Lipp M. 66. Nomm U. 90. Sild J. 20. Valja H. 14. Orm R. 10. Viidas S. 17. Kapper S. 7. Vallik V. 42. Limberg M.
Substitutes
14. Karis K. 6. Karis M. 77. Kiidjarv C. (G) 8. Kiidron K. 22. Lang T. 11. Muur R. 29. Silov R. 72. Tuur G. 4. Vaino M. 25. Viinapuu A.	64. Allas J. 11. Kauber K. 88. Keskula E. 47. Kolvart S. 19. Korre A. 9. Poder J. 12. Ristimets M. (G) 86. Roosson R. 26. Vahemets O. 1. Vainu H. (G)
Coaches
Voolaid K.	Prins I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Thomas Lisboa 🟨,
44', Seppik M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Sild J. 🟨,
65', Kapper S. 🟨,
69', Viidas S. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
70', Orm R. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
72', Hydara M. ↓, Muur R. ↑,
72', Uggeri G. ↓, Lang T. ↑,
78', Nomm U. ↓, Allas J. ↑,
84', Veelma P. 🟨,
86', Vallik V. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
86', Kauan Pereira ↓, Kiidron K. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tammeka will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tammeka won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
7	Parnu JK Vaprus	29	10	4	15	39:57	-18	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
30.05.26	Tammeka - Levadia Tallinn	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Tammeka - Nõmme United	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Tammeka - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Paide LM - Tammeka	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWWWL
- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
30.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju	3:1 ✺
24.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Levadia Tallinn	1:6 ✺
16.05.26	Harju JK Laagri - Pärnu Vaprus	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	2:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
06.05.26	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
18.04.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	0:0
16.09.25	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	1:4
15.08.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	8:1
17.05.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	2:1
29.03.25	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	0:5
Club Friendly
16.02.25	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	6:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.09.24	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	2:2

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