Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	20:45	DAZN
Argentina	15:45	DAZN
Australia	04:45	DAZN
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belarus	21:45	DAZN
Bolivia	14:45	DAZN
Brazil	15:45	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	21:45	DAZN
Canada	14:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	13:45	DAZN
Croatia	20:45	DAZN
Cyprus	21:45	DAZN
Czech Republic	20:45	DAZN
Denmark	20:45	DAZN
Ecuador	13:45	DAZN
Finland	21:45	DAZN
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	DAZN
Hong Kong	02:45	DAZN
Hungary	20:45	DAZN
India	00:15	DAZN
Indonesia	01:45	DAZN
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	00:45	DAZN
Latvia	21:45	DAZN
Lithuania	21:45	DAZN
Malaysia	02:45	DAZN
Mexico	12:45	DAZN
New Zealand	07:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	19:45	DAZN
North Macedonia	20:45	DAZN
Norway	20:45	DAZN
Paraguay	14:45	DAZN
Philippines	02:45	DAZN
Poland	20:45	DAZN
Portugal	19:45	DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	DAZN
Russia	21:45	DAZN
Serbia	20:45	DAZN
Slovenia	20:45	DAZN
South Africa	20:45	DAZN
South Korea	03:45	DAZN
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	DAZN
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:45	DAZN
Thailand	01:45	DAZN
Ukraine	21:45	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	22:45	DAZN
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	15:45	DAZN
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	23:45	DAZN
Venezuela	14:45	DAZN
Vietnam	01:45	DAZN


	Morecambe		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.45
	2.48	3.6	2.48
	2.31	4.02	2.72
	25.00	13.95	1.00	Watch
	2.46	3.64	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (2.53)	5.74 ↑ (3.7)	2.22 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Morecambe
18.7%

Draw
22.7%

Gateshead
58.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

24.8%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

24.4%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Morecambe's form might have worsened.

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gateshead's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Morecambe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gateshead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Morecambe - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Morecambe will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gateshead will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Morecambe (votes: 1 - 25%). Gateshead (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mair A. (G) 12. Aarons R. 8. Azeez M. 10. Cain J. 3. Conte R. 29. Dixon-Bonner E. 36. Nolan J. 9. Panayiotou H. 2. Payne L. 14. Sesay A. 24. Songo'o Y. (C)	1. Brooks T. (G) 7. Adom K. 10. Butterfield J. 32. Chapman H. 22. Edwards C. 3. Ferguson D. 18. Grayson J. 20. John F. 14. Nouble F. 26. Pani C. 5. Richardson K.
Substitutes
35. Ascroft H. 7. Edwards G. 6. Francillette L. 33. Raikhy A. 28. Sutton E. 32. Thomas G. 18. Tollitt B.	35. Bone C. 6. Flint W. 17. Home J. 21. Hurst K. 13. Leech P. (G) 16. Lowery L. 31. Williams B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
2', 0 - 1, Chapman H. ⚽, Butterfield J. (A),
4', 0 - 2, Adom K. ⚽, Edwards C. (A),
10', 0 - 3, Pani C. ⚽, Butterfield J. (A),
12', 0 - 4, Chapman H. ⚽, Grayson J. (A),
24', Conte R. ↓, Thomas G. ↑,
34', 1 - 4, Thomas G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Panayiotou H. ↓, Tollitt B. ↑,
46', Butterfield J. ↓, Home J. ↑,
55', Richardson K. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
60', Sesay A. 🟨,
62', Chapman H. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
69', Sesay A. ↓, Francillette L. ↑,
72', 1 - 5, Pani C. ⚽, Ferguson D. (A),
75', Grayson J. ↓, Flint W. ↑,
75', Adom K. ↓, Lowery L. ↑,
80', Nouble F. 🟨,
82', Aarons R. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 5, Payne L. ⚽, Nolan J. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Gateshead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Gateshead - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.77%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morecambe
English National League
27.09.25	Truro City - Morecambe	5:0 ✺
24.09.25	Morecambe - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Morecambe - Wealdstone	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	Solihull Moors - Morecambe	4:4 ✺
06.09.25	Boreham Wood - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTL
- Gateshead
English National League
27.09.25	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gateshead - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
English National League Cup
17.09.25	Gateshead - Middlesbrough U21	0:2 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Wealdstone - Gateshead	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLT

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