Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.12	3.35	3.2
	2.02	3.4	3.29
	2.05	3.45	3.22	Watch
	2.07	3.32	3.35
	2.12	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.96)	3.32 ↑ (3.27)	3.22 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
44.1%

Draw
27.5%

Barakaldo
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.1%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Tarazona - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ramirez Y. (G) 17. Lopez A. 2. Camus S. 5. Murria V. 15. Rodriguez J. 3. Martinez Chechu 7. Areso J. 12. Cedeno E. 23. Rico M. 19. Fuentes A. 21. Pradera M.	1. Tena J. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 15. Muguruza A. 12. Artetxe M. 4. Jelbat A. 6. Naveira U. 8. Huidobro J. 22. Bujan U. 14. Txoperena U. 11. Revilla A. 9. Valino A.
Substitutes
14. Buyla J. 9. Cubillas D. 1. Fuoli D. (G) 22. Llacer L. 6. Mencia J. 8. Romero B. 4. Trilles M.	23. Bilbao L. 26. Huete H. 20. Martinez J. 7. Pedernales I. 13. Perez U. (G) 18. Santiago P. 21. Uriarte K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', de Jesus B. 🟨,
37', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', de Jesus B. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
46', Lopez A. ↓, Mencia J. ↑,
62', Txoperena U. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
62', Bujan U. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
69', Pradera M. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Cedeno E. ⚽,
76', Rico M. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).

Tarazona has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barakaldo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tarazona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Tarazona - Ourense CF	4:0 ✺
03.05.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tarazona - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Celta de Vigo B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLWT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.05.25	Barakaldo - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Leonesa - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Barakaldo - Sestao	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.11.24	Barakaldo - Tarazona	3:0

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