Match Info

J3 League - Round 12

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ishikawa Athletics Stadium (Kanazawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Zweigen Kanazawa		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	2	3.25	3.45
	2.06	3.29	3.7
	1.95	3.3	3.89
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.49	3.38	Watch
	2	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.18)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)	3.58 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zweigen Kanazawa
46.2%

Draw
28.1%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zweigen Kanazawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Giravanz Kitakyushu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giravanz Kitakyushu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Zweigen Kanazawa - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yamanoi T. (G) 39. Shoji H. 38. Yamamoto N. 20. Nagakura H. 25. Kojima M. 15. Nishiya Y. 8. Oyama K. 23. Shinomiya Y. 41. Shimada S. 24. Nishiya K. 9. Toshida Y.	41. Sugimoto M. (G) 22. Yamawaki K. 50. Sugiyama K. 44. Tsujioka Y. 28. Konomi K. 32. Takayanagi F. 14. Izawa H. (C) 17. Okano R. 7. Hirahara R. 29. Koh S. 9. Kawabe S.
Substitutes
14. Ishihara T. 4. Matsumoto D. 26. Murata J. 49. Osawa T. 30. Otani H. 10. Patric 5. Sakurai F. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K.	13. Higashi R. 99. Kabayama R. 11. Kiyama K. 23. Sakamoto K. 34. Takayoshi S. 27. Tanaka Y. (G) 18. Watanabe S. 19. Yoshihara F. 24. Yoshinaga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Yamamoto N. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Kawabe S. ⚽, Okano R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shoji H. ↓, Matsumoto D. ↑,
54', Okano R. 🟨,
59', Okano R. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
63', Shimada S. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
63', Toshida Y. ↓, Patric ↑,
68', Kawabe S. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
69', Koh S. ↓, Takayoshi S. ↑,
72', Kojima M. ↓, Sakurai F. ↑,
81', Konomi K. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
81', Yamawaki K. ↓, Higashi R. ↑,
81', Shinomiya Y. ↓, Otani H. ↑,
89', Hirahara R. 🟨,
90+6', Patric 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 1.

Kanazawa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giravanz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Kanazawa has had a series of away games.

Recently, Giravanz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kanazawa is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kanazawa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kanazawa won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Gainare Tottori - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWT
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Yokohama FC	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
12.04.25	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
26.10.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:2
23.06.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1
Japan J2 League
11.09.21	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0
14.03.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1
01.11.20	Zweigen Kanazawa - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:4
12.08.20	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1
07.08.16	Zweigen Kanazawa - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:1

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